Stock Analysis

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving LightInTheBox Holding Co., Ltd.'s (NYSE:LITB) 34% Price Drop

NYSE:LITB
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, LightInTheBox Holding Co., Ltd. (NYSE:LITB) shares are down a considerable 34% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 64% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, LightInTheBox Holding may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Multiline Retail industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 0.8x and even P/S higher than 3x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for LightInTheBox Holding

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:LITB Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 12th 2024

What Does LightInTheBox Holding's Recent Performance Look Like?

For instance, LightInTheBox Holding's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on LightInTheBox Holding will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, LightInTheBox Holding would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 30% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 7.8% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 13% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we are not surprised that LightInTheBox Holding is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On LightInTheBox Holding's P/S

LightInTheBox Holding's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Multiline Retail companies. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of LightInTheBox Holding revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for LightInTheBox Holding (2 are potentially serious) you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of LightInTheBox Holding's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.