Lithia Motors Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Lithia Motors is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 9.9% and 5.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 11.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.3% in 3 years.

Key information

9.9%

Earnings growth rate

11.3%

EPS growth rate

Specialty Retail earnings growth9.0%
Revenue growth rate5.8%
Future return on equity12.3%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated07 May 2025

Recent future growth updates

Results: Lithia Motors, Inc. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Aug 11
Results: Lithia Motors, Inc. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Recent updates

Lithia Motors: A High-Quality Compounder That Looks To Be On Sale

Mar 31

At US$320, Is Lithia Motors, Inc. (NYSE:LAD) Worth Looking At Closely?

Mar 25
At US$320, Is Lithia Motors, Inc. (NYSE:LAD) Worth Looking At Closely?

Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On Lithia Motors, Inc. (NYSE:LAD)

Mar 12
Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On Lithia Motors, Inc. (NYSE:LAD)

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Lithia Motors, Inc. (NYSE:LAD)

Feb 26
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Lithia Motors, Inc. (NYSE:LAD)

Is Lithia Motors (NYSE:LAD) A Risky Investment?

Feb 13
Is Lithia Motors (NYSE:LAD) A Risky Investment?

The Returns On Capital At Lithia Motors (NYSE:LAD) Don't Inspire Confidence

Jan 11
The Returns On Capital At Lithia Motors (NYSE:LAD) Don't Inspire Confidence

Lithia Motors: A Solid Prospect Even In Spite Of Certain Weaknesses

Jan 03

When Should You Buy Lithia Motors, Inc. (NYSE:LAD)?

Dec 24
When Should You Buy Lithia Motors, Inc. (NYSE:LAD)?

Is Lithia Motors, Inc. (NYSE:LAD) Trading At A 43% Discount?

Nov 23
Is Lithia Motors, Inc. (NYSE:LAD) Trading At A 43% Discount?

Lithia Motors, Inc. (NYSE:LAD) Screens Well But There Might Be A Catch

Oct 24
Lithia Motors, Inc. (NYSE:LAD) Screens Well But There Might Be A Catch

Lithia Motors: Dividend Appears Borderline Safe With Moderate Risk

Sep 30

Be Wary Of Lithia Motors (NYSE:LAD) And Its Returns On Capital

Sep 23
Be Wary Of Lithia Motors (NYSE:LAD) And Its Returns On Capital

Is Lithia Motors, Inc. (NYSE:LAD) Potentially Undervalued?

Sep 09
Is Lithia Motors, Inc. (NYSE:LAD) Potentially Undervalued?
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Tactical Moves And Tech Investments Poised To Rev Up Growth And Profitability

Aug 27 Diversification and strategic partnerships like Driveway and GreenCars aim to boost Lithia Motors' market share and profitability without specifying financial metrics.

Results: Lithia Motors, Inc. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Aug 11
Results: Lithia Motors, Inc. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Lithia Motors: Short Term Troubles But Long Term Still Looks Promising

Aug 04

Fewer Investors Than Expected Jumping On Lithia Motors, Inc. (NYSE:LAD)

Jul 15
Fewer Investors Than Expected Jumping On Lithia Motors, Inc. (NYSE:LAD)

Is Lithia Motors (NYSE:LAD) A Risky Investment?

Jun 29
Is Lithia Motors (NYSE:LAD) A Risky Investment?

Lithia Motors (NYSE:LAD) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return

Jun 14
Lithia Motors (NYSE:LAD) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return

Lithia Motors Deserves A Nice Upgrade

May 07

Lithia Motors: Despite Short-Term Troubles, Long-Term Story Remains Intact

Apr 25

Lithia Motors, Inc.: Robust Revenue Growth, Digital Dominance, And Strategic Vision For LT Growth

Nov 01

Lithia Motors: Strategic Consolidation And Diverse Portfolio Drive Growth

Sep 01

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:LAD - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202743,8161,161-147476
12/31/202640,175968-2861115
12/31/202537,98490730389716
3/31/202536,805849114455N/A
12/31/202436,18880274425N/A
9/30/202434,689799-27068N/A
6/30/202433,745852-372-30N/A
3/31/202432,625935-402-131N/A
12/31/202331,0421,001-703-472N/A
9/30/202330,3151,035-527-270N/A
6/30/202329,3331,103-909-646N/A
3/31/202328,4621,138-967-685N/A
12/31/202228,1881,251-913-610N/A
9/30/202227,5511,294-998-722N/A
6/30/202226,4251,272-21263N/A
3/31/202225,1941,2461,0531,324N/A
12/31/202122,8321,0601,5371,797N/A
9/30/202120,4649571,5101,746N/A
6/30/202117,9148088231,026N/A
3/31/202114,664580746922N/A
12/31/202013,127470377545N/A
9/30/202012,451351713872N/A
6/30/202012,1642779251,070N/A
3/31/202012,627261432569N/A
12/31/201912,673272400525N/A
9/30/201912,377263458594N/A
6/30/201912,137271384528N/A
3/31/201912,011270403548N/A
12/31/201811,821266N/A520N/A
9/30/201811,551295N/A268N/A
6/30/201811,140254N/A207N/A
3/31/201810,510247N/A71N/A
12/31/201710,087245N/A149N/A
9/30/20179,675207N/A157N/A
6/30/20179,265209N/A199N/A
3/31/20178,931208N/A179N/A
12/31/20168,678197N/A91N/A
9/30/20168,379193N/A162N/A
6/30/20168,194183N/A116N/A
3/31/20168,058183N/A75N/A
12/31/20157,864183N/A80N/A
9/30/20157,664176N/A50N/A
6/30/20156,877168N/A64N/A
3/31/20156,101151N/A91N/A
12/31/20145,390136N/A31N/A
9/30/20144,622122N/A7N/A
6/30/20144,394118N/A3N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: LAD's forecast earnings growth (9.9% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: LAD's earnings (9.9% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (13.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: LAD's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: LAD's revenue (5.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: LAD's revenue (5.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: LAD's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.3%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/08 08:57
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/08 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Lithia Motors, Inc. is covered by 35 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Michael AlbaneseBenchmark Company
Andrew FungBerenberg