Stock Analysis

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:GROV) P/S

NYSE:GROV
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.3x in the Specialty Retail industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:GROV) P/S ratio of 0.2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Grove Collaborative Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:GROV Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 11th 2024

What Does Grove Collaborative Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Grove Collaborative Holdings could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Grove Collaborative Holdings.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

Grove Collaborative Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 21% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 42% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 4.4% over the next year. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 3.6%.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Grove Collaborative Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On Grove Collaborative Holdings' P/S

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

While Grove Collaborative Holdings' P/S isn't anything out of the ordinary for companies in the industry, we didn't expect it given forecasts of revenue decline. When we see a gloomy outlook like this, our immediate thoughts are that the share price is at risk of declining, negatively impacting P/S. If the declining revenues were to materialize in the form of a declining share price, shareholders will be feeling the pinch.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Grove Collaborative Holdings that we have uncovered.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.