Stock Analysis

We Think Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de (NYSE:BWMX) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

NYSE:BWMX
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. (NYSE:BWMX) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de

What Is Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de's Debt?

As you can see below, Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de had Mex$5.04b of debt at March 2024, down from Mex$5.75b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of Mex$425.2m, its net debt is less, at about Mex$4.62b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:BWMX Debt to Equity History June 11th 2024

How Healthy Is Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de had liabilities of Mex$3.75b falling due within a year, and liabilities of Mex$5.63b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had Mex$425.2m in cash and Mex$1.33b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total Mex$7.63b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of Mex$10.6b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.6 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 3.3 times last year. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. One way Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 18%, as it did over the last year. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de recorded free cash flow worth 67% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. On the other hand, its interest cover makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.