Stock Analysis
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- NYSE:BOOT
Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:BOOT) Stock Retreats 31% But Earnings Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors
Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BOOT) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 31% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 31%, which is great even in a bull market.
Although its price has dipped substantially, given around half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may still consider Boot Barn Holdings as a stock to potentially avoid with its 21.4x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Recent earnings growth for Boot Barn Holdings has been in line with the market. It might be that many expect the mediocre earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Boot Barn Holdings
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Boot Barn Holdings would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 4.0% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 3.5% overall drop in EPS. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 17% per year over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 11% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Boot Barn Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Despite the recent share price weakness, Boot Barn Holdings' P/E remains higher than most other companies. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Boot Barn Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Boot Barn Holdings with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Boot Barn Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Boot Barn Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:BOOT
Boot Barn Holdings
Operates specialty retail stores in the United States and internationally.