Stock Analysis

Could The Market Be Wrong About Ulta Beauty, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA) Given Its Attractive Financial Prospects?

NasdaqGS:ULTA
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It is hard to get excited after looking at Ulta Beauty's (NASDAQ:ULTA) recent performance, when its stock has declined 20% over the past month. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. In this article, we decided to focus on Ulta Beauty's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

See our latest analysis for Ulta Beauty

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Ulta Beauty is:

57% = US$1.3b ÷ US$2.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to February 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.57 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Ulta Beauty's Earnings Growth And 57% ROE

First thing first, we like that Ulta Beauty has an impressive ROE. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 19% the company's ROE is quite impressive. So, the substantial 22% net income growth seen by Ulta Beauty over the past five years isn't overly surprising.

We then performed a comparison between Ulta Beauty's net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 26% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
NasdaqGS:ULTA Past Earnings Growth April 19th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is ULTA fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Ulta Beauty Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Ulta Beauty doesn't pay any regular dividends to its shareholders, meaning that the company has been reinvesting all of its profits into the business. This is likely what's driving the high earnings growth number discussed above.

Summary

In total, we are pretty happy with Ulta Beauty's performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Ulta Beauty is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.