Stitch Fix, Inc.

NasdaqGS:SFIX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$483.2m

Stitch Fix Valuation

Is SFIX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SFIX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SFIX ($4.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($1.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SFIX is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SFIX?

Key metric: As SFIX is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for SFIX. This is calculated by dividing SFIX's market cap by their current revenue.
What is SFIX's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.4x
SalesUS$1.34b
Market CapUS$483.22m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SFIX's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SFIX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.5x
ZUMZ Zumiez
0.5x2.9%US$411.0m
LE Lands' End
0.3x-0.2%US$460.7m
CURV Torrid Holdings
0.4x0.8%US$414.5m
REAL RealReal
0.8x10.1%US$485.9m
SFIX Stitch Fix
0.4x-3.5%US$483.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SFIX is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (0.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does SFIX's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

44 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TA TravelCenters of America
0.1x-0.8%US$1.30b
ODP ODP
0.1x-2.1%US$778.86m
ARKO Arko
0.09x-1.7%US$766.41m
GCO Genesco
0.1x1.9%US$323.86m
SFIX 0.4xIndustry Avg. 0.4xNo. of Companies44PS00.61.21.82.43+
44 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SFIX is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (0.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SFIX's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SFIX PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: SFIX is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SFIX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$4.20
US$3.47
-17.5%
13.1%US$4.00US$2.80n/a6
Nov ’25US$3.25
US$3.47
+6.7%
13.1%US$4.00US$2.80n/a6
Oct ’25US$2.66
US$3.54
+33.2%
11.1%US$4.00US$3.00n/a7
Sep ’25US$3.78
US$3.60
-4.8%
20.3%US$4.50US$2.00n/a8
Aug ’25US$4.35
US$3.60
-17.2%
20.3%US$4.50US$2.00n/a8
Jul ’25US$3.98
US$3.48
-12.7%
22.1%US$4.50US$2.00n/a8
Jun ’25US$2.47
US$3.29
+33.1%
19.0%US$4.00US$2.00n/a8
May ’25US$2.14
US$3.29
+53.6%
19.0%US$4.00US$2.00n/a8
Apr ’25US$2.65
US$3.31
+25.0%
18.4%US$4.00US$2.00n/a8
Mar ’25US$3.21
US$3.97
+23.7%
12.0%US$5.00US$3.00n/a10
Feb ’25US$3.30
US$3.89
+17.9%
13.2%US$5.00US$3.00n/a12
Jan ’25US$3.57
US$3.88
+8.6%
12.5%US$5.00US$3.00n/a13
Dec ’24US$3.97
US$3.63
-8.4%
16.3%US$5.00US$2.50n/a13
Nov ’24US$3.16
US$3.63
+15.0%
16.3%US$5.00US$2.50US$3.2513
Oct ’24US$3.45
US$3.73
+8.2%
18.0%US$5.00US$2.50US$2.6614
Sep ’24US$4.35
US$4.42
+1.6%
13.2%US$5.00US$3.00US$3.7814
Aug ’24US$4.97
US$4.39
-11.6%
13.0%US$5.00US$3.00US$4.3515
Jul ’24US$3.85
US$4.39
+14.1%
13.0%US$5.00US$3.00US$3.9815
Apr ’24US$5.11
US$4.45
-12.9%
15.4%US$6.00US$3.00US$2.6516
Mar ’24US$4.54
US$4.45
-1.9%
19.5%US$6.00US$3.00US$3.2117
Feb ’24US$5.29
US$4.45
-15.8%
19.5%US$6.00US$3.00US$3.3017
Jan ’24US$3.11
US$4.48
+44.1%
18.8%US$6.00US$3.00US$3.5717
Dec ’23US$3.82
US$5.24
+37.1%
21.3%US$7.00US$3.00US$3.9716
Nov ’23US$3.87
US$5.24
+35.3%
21.3%US$7.00US$3.00US$3.1616

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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