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Poshmark Valuation

Is POSH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of POSH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: POSH ($17.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($34.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: POSH is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for POSH?

Key metric: As POSH is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for POSH. This is calculated by dividing POSH's market cap by their current revenue.
What is POSH's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio4x
SalesUS$352.63m
Market CapUS$1.42b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does POSH's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for POSH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.8x
SDWL Shengda Network Technology
28.8xn/aUS$107.9m
GCT GigaCloud Technology
0.8x16.9%US$854.7m
WRBY Warby Parker
3.5x12.0%US$2.6b
RVLV Revolve Group
2.1x10.8%US$2.3b
POSH Poshmark
4x12.1%US$1.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: POSH is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x) compared to the peer average (1.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does POSH's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Online Retail Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies6PS01.63.24.86.48+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: POSH is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x) compared to the US Online Retail industry average (0.6x)


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is POSH's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

POSH PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4x
Fair PS Ratio2.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: POSH is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst POSH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$16.97
0%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Nov ’25n/a
US$16.97
0%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Oct ’25n/a
US$16.97
0%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Sep ’25n/a
US$16.97
0%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Aug ’25n/a
US$16.97
0%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Jul ’25n/a
US$16.97
0%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Jun ’25n/a
US$16.97
0%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
May ’25n/a
US$16.97
0%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Apr ’25n/a
US$16.97
0%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Mar ’25n/a
US$16.97
0%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Feb ’25n/a
US$16.97
0%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Jan ’25n/a
US$16.97
0%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Dec ’24n/a
US$16.97
0%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Nov ’24n/a
US$16.97
0%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Oct ’24n/a
US$16.97
0%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Sep ’24n/a
US$16.97
0%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Aug ’24n/a
US$16.97
0%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Jul ’24n/a
US$16.97
0%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Jun ’24n/a
US$16.97
0%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
May ’24n/a
US$16.97
0%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Apr ’24n/a
US$16.97
0%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Mar ’24n/a
US$16.97
0%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Feb ’24n/a
US$16.97
0%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Jan ’24US$17.88
US$16.97
-5.1%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Dec ’23US$17.82
US$16.97
-4.8%
12.0%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Nov ’23US$17.77
US$15.99
-10.0%
17.9%US$18.00US$11.00n/a7

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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