Stock Analysis

The Market Lifts PDD Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:PDD) Shares 52% But It Can Do More

Published
NasdaqGS:PDD

PDD Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:PDD) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 52% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 36%.

Although its price has surged higher, PDD Holdings may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.4x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 19x and even P/E's higher than 35x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been pleasing for PDD Holdings as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for PDD Holdings

NasdaqGS:PDD Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 12th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on PDD Holdings.

How Is PDD Holdings' Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like PDD Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 127%. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 14% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 10% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it odd that PDD Holdings is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

PDD Holdings' stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that PDD Holdings currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for PDD Holdings you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than PDD Holdings. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.