David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that The ODP Corporation (NASDAQ:ODP) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for ODP
What Is ODP's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that ODP had debt of US$150.0m at the end of December 2022, a reduction from US$196.0m over a year. However, it does have US$403.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$253.0m.
How Strong Is ODP's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, ODP had liabilities of US$1.86b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.00b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$403.0m and US$544.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$1.92b.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of US$1.74b, we think shareholders really should watch ODP's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. ODP boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load, even if it does have very significant liabilities, in total.
In fact ODP's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 21% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if ODP can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. ODP may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, ODP generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 94% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Summing Up
Although ODP's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of US$253.0m. The cherry on top was that in converted 94% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$138m. So although we see some areas for improvement, we're not too worried about ODP's balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for ODP that you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:ODP
ODP
Provides business services and supplies, products, and digital workplace technology solutions for small, medium, and enterprise businesses in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the U.S.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.