Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies The ODP Corporation (NASDAQ:ODP) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for ODP
How Much Debt Does ODP Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that ODP had US$173.0m of debt in September 2023, down from US$191.0m, one year before. But it also has US$384.0m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$211.0m net cash.
A Look At ODP's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that ODP had liabilities of US$1.76b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$1.07b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$384.0m as well as receivables valued at US$547.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$1.89b.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's US$1.78b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. Given that ODP has more cash than debt, we're pretty confident it can handle its debt, despite the fact that it has a lot of liabilities in total.
But the other side of the story is that ODP saw its EBIT decline by 3.1% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if ODP can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While ODP has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, ODP recorded free cash flow worth 66% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Summing Up
While ODP does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of US$211.0m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of US$312m, being 66% of its EBIT. So we are not troubled with ODP's debt use. Of course, we wouldn't say no to the extra confidence that we'd gain if we knew that ODP insiders have been buying shares: if you're on the same wavelength, you can find out if insiders are buying by clicking this link.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:ODP
ODP
Provides business services and supplies, products, and digital workplace technology solutions for small, medium, and enterprise businesses in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the U.S.
Excellent balance sheet with moderate growth potential.