LKQ Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 1/6
LKQ's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -11.8%, while the Retail Distributors industry saw earnings declining at 10.4% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 2.4% per year. LKQ's return on equity is 8%, and it has net margins of 3.7%.
Key information
-11.84%
Earnings growth rate
-8.67%
EPS growth rate
| Retail Distributors Industry Growth | 20.65% |
| Revenue growth rate | 2.42% |
| Return on equity | 7.95% |
| Net Margin | 3.73% |
| Next Earnings Update | 23 Jul 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Analysis Article • 43m
We Think You Can Look Beyond LKQ's (NASDAQ:LKQ) Lackluster Earnings
LKQ Corporation's ( NASDAQ:LKQ ) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. While the headline...
Narrative Update • Apr 21
LKQ: Board Review And Potential Sale Are Expected To Unlock Value
Analysts have made only a minor adjustment to the LKQ price framework, with a blended target effectively stable around $40.81. Small model tweaks reflect mixed Street views that balance raised targets of $45 to $50 and $34 with a lower $37 target and slightly updated earnings assumptions.Narrative Update • Apr 07
LKQ: Portfolio Review And Sale Process Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have made a small adjustment to the LKQ fair value estimate to $40.81 from $40.94, reflecting a mix of higher and lower price targets across the Street as models are updated for recent guidance and macro headwinds. Analyst Commentary Street research on LKQ highlights a mix of optimism around valuation support and execution, paired with some caution tied to macro headwinds and reduced earnings expectations.Narrative Update • Mar 23
LKQ: Portfolio Review And Sale Options Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analyst price targets for LKQ have shifted within a wide $34 to $50 range, reflecting mixed views, as some analysts factor in persistent macro headwinds and lower outer year EPS estimates, while others highlight sum-of-the-parts valuation support following recent guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on LKQ offers a mix of optimism and caution, with opinions clustering around execution in a tougher macro backdrop, updated earnings paths, and how current guidance supports valuation.Narrative Update • Mar 08
LKQ: Portfolio Review And Potential Sale Will Support Future Upside Potential
Narrative Update: LKQ Analyst Price Target Shift LKQ's analyst fair value estimate has inched up from $40.69 to $40.94, as analysts weigh a wider mix of price targets in the $34 to $50 range and adjust their models for macro headwinds and updated EPS expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a split view on LKQ, with some analysts lifting price targets and others trimming them while still seeing room for upside.Narrative Update • Feb 21
LKQ: Portfolio Review And Specialty Sale Will Support Future Upside Potential
The analyst price target for LKQ has been adjusted slightly higher to $34 from $33, as analysts refreshed their models after the Q4 report and updated assumptions around growth, margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the higher US$34 target as reflecting refreshed expectations following the Q4 report, with updated assumptions around growth, margins and the P/E used in their models.Seeking Alpha • Feb 09
LKQ Corporation's Drop Offers Opportunity
Summary LKQ Corporation remains a compelling value play despite a 31.5% stock decline since October 2023 and ongoing strategic uncertainty. Management's asset sales—including Self Service and planned Specialty divestitures—plus a strategic review, present significant catalysts for shareholder value creation. LKQ trades at a discount to peers, with cost-cutting initiatives targeting $75 million in annual savings and potential for further value-unlocking transactions. Risks include softening automotive demand, economic headwinds, and tariff exposure, but I maintain a "Buy" rating given the stock’s absolute and relative cheapness. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Feb 06
LKQ: Portfolio Review And Specialty Sale Will Support Future Repricing Potential
Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for LKQ holds steady at about $41.19 per share, with analysts pointing to mixed sector fundamentals, an Equal Weight stance, and an expectation that auto dealers and digital auction platforms can continue to provide resilient shareholder returns. Analyst Commentary Coverage on LKQ starts with an Equal Weight rating and a US$33 price target, reflecting a balanced view of both the opportunities and risks in the auto retail sector.Narrative Update • Jan 23
LKQ: Portfolio Simplification And Digital Auctions Will Drive Future Repricing Potential
Narrative Update The analyst price target for LKQ has been reiterated at US$41.19. Analysts cite a neutral sector view, mixed auto retail fundamentals, and expectations for resilient dealer returns and digital auction marketplace growth as key factors behind maintaining their outlook.Narrative Update • Jan 08
LKQ: Portfolio Simplification And Digital Auctions Will Support Future Repricing Potential
Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for LKQ at about $41.19 per share, with a modestly higher assumed future P/E and a slight tweak to the discount rate, while incorporating mixed sector fundamentals and an Equal Weight view with a US$33 target from recent coverage. Analyst Commentary Recent research frames LKQ as a balanced risk reward idea, with the stock initiated at Equal Weight and a US$33 price target, in line with a neutral sector stance on auto retail.Analysis Article • Jan 03
Lacklustre Performance Is Driving LKQ Corporation's (NASDAQ:LKQ) Low P/E
LKQ Corporation's ( NASDAQ:LKQ ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11x might make it look like a buy right now...Narrative Update • Dec 24
LKQ: Portfolio Simplification And Digital Auctions Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly revised their price target for LKQ to about $41.19 per share. The slight upward adjustment reflects confidence in the company’s resilient auto retail positioning and long term growth prospects in digital auction marketplaces, despite a mixed sector backdrop.Narrative Update • Dec 10
LKQ: Portfolio Streamlining And Digital Auctions Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on LKQ, trimming fair value from approximately $42.92 to $41.19 per share. Mixed sector fundamentals and a neutral view on auto retail balance the company’s resilient returns and digital growth potential.Narrative Update • Nov 11
LKQ: European Unit Sale Will Unlock Value Amid Portfolio Streamlining
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for LKQ, decreasing it from $43.42 to $42.92. They cite muted expectations for revenue growth and profit margins in their updated outlook.Analysis Article • Nov 04
LKQ (NASDAQ:LKQ) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.30
The board of LKQ Corporation ( NASDAQ:LKQ ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.30 per share on the 4th of...Narrative Update • Oct 27
Divestment Of European Operations Will Drive Sustainable Value Creation
Analysts have raised their price target for LKQ from $42.10 to $43.42. This change reflects minor adjustments in expected revenue growth, discount rate, and future profitability margins.
Narrative Update • Oct 15
LKQ valuation
julio has increased revenue growth from 6.0% to 7.0% and increased shares outstanding growth rate from -0.0% to -0.0%.Analysis Article • Oct 02
Here's What To Make Of LKQ's (NASDAQ:LKQ) Decelerating Rates Of Return
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. In a perfect world, we'd like to see...Narrative Update • Sep 24
Cost Cuts And Lean Operations Will Unlock Sustainable Value
Analysts have lowered their price target for LKQ to $42.10, citing weaker-than-expected Q2 results, downward EPS revisions, and persistent market headwinds, with the fair value estimate declining from $43.42 to $42.10. Analyst Commentary Weaker than expected Q2 results prompted reductions in adjusted EPS estimates for 2025 and 2026.Analysis Article • Jul 27
LKQ Corporation Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
There's been a notable change in appetite for LKQ Corporation ( NASDAQ:LKQ ) shares in the week since its quarterly...Analysis Article • Jul 02
LKQ's (NASDAQ:LKQ) Returns Have Hit A Wall
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Ideally, a business...Analysis Article • Jun 19
What Does LKQ Corporation's (NASDAQ:LKQ) Share Price Indicate?
LKQ Corporation ( NASDAQ:LKQ ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a...Seeking Alpha • Mar 06
LKQ Corporation: Valuation To Stay Rangebound (Rating Downgrade)
Summary My rating for LKQ Corporation stock has shifted to hold due to weak North American performance and minimal growth in Europe, contrary to expectations. 4Q24 results showed a 4.1% revenue decline, with North America down 7.2% y/y and the specialty segment also weak. Key headwinds include demand weakness in North America, financial deleverage, and potential impact from trade policy shifts and inflation. Despite a seemingly cheap valuation, the near-term outlook is uncertain, making it difficult to justify an upside case for LKQ. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 15
LKQ Corporation: They've Got Parts, They've Got Scale, They've Got My Attention
Summary LKQ Corporation is undervalued, boasts strong financial performance, and has promising growth prospects due to its size and scale advantage. LKQ's extensive distribution network and wide range of parts make it a preferred choice for repair shops, enhancing customer relationships. Valuation suggests significant upside potential, with a target price of $70 per share, making LKQ a compelling buy opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 09
LKQ Corporation Presents Attractive Risk-Reward As Cycles Normalize
Summary LKQ Corporation faces cyclical headwinds from high insurance premiums and declining used car prices, but prudent capital allocation and cost control ensure strong cash flow and shareholder returns. The company's focus has shifted from acquisitions to operational efficiency and capital return, a strategy favored by investors and likely to yield substantial returns as cycles normalize. LKQ's valuation is attractive, with potential upside of 24.5%-29.7% based on DCF and precedent transaction analyses, supported by conservative assumptions. Risks include continued decline in used car prices, rising insurance premiums, and potential failure to execute deleveraging and shareholder return strategies, but these are mitigated by recent trends and management's commitment. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 17
LKQ Corporation: Insiders Are Buying, But I'm Holding For Now
Summary Declining repairable claims, rising costs, and macroeconomic challenges have led to a 27% decline in the share price since April this year. Declining commodity prices caused a 26.7% drop in self-service segment revenue in Q2 2024. Higher restructuring costs and debt from recent acquisitions are still hurting profits and free cash flows. Rising insurance premiums and falling used car values are key factors behind the decline in repairable claims in North America. I maintain a Hold rating as insider buying and institutional interest suggest potential for a turnaround, but profitability issues and rising costs need to be sorted out before I upgrade the stock. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Aug 23
Tactical Revamps And Market Challenges Set To Sculpt Future Profitability And Growth
Strategic refinements and cost-saving measures aim to bolster profitability and operational efficiency, enhancing net margins and EBITDA.Seeking Alpha • Aug 02
LKQ Corp.: FCF Growth, M&A, And European Redesign Implied Undervaluation
Summary LKQ presented itself in its last quarterly report as a global distributor of vehicle products. Strong financial growth seen in assets, liabilities, and book value per share over the last decade indicates undervaluation. LKQ Corporation plans to redesign its business model in Europe and benefit from recent M&A transactions for accelerated growth. The discounted cash flow model suggests a fair price of $103 per share, with potential for significant upside based on conservative assumptions and ongoing growth strategies. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How LKQ makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 13,793 | 515 | 3,859 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 13,651 | 596 | 3,814 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 14,097 | 696 | 3,910 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 14,051 | 705 | 3,883 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 13,447 | 666 | 3,700 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 13,823 | 666 | 3,795 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 14,098 | 699 | 3,896 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 14,213 | 719 | 3,944 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 14,220 | 830 | 3,984 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 13,269 | 932 | 3,698 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 13,366 | 951 | 3,709 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 12,902 | 1,005 | 3,591 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 12,795 | 1,144 | 3,551 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 12,794 | 1,143 | 3,544 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 12,979 | 1,185 | 3,588 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 13,172 | 1,208 | 3,626 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 13,266 | 1,093 | 3,629 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 13,089 | 1,090 | 3,569 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 12,857 | 1,035 | 3,471 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 12,608 | 945 | 3,402 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 11,799 | 758 | 3,273 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 11,629 | 638 | 3,222 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 11,685 | 599 | 3,395 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 11,785 | 557 | 3,458 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 12,407 | 589 | 3,584 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 12,506 | 541 | 3,581 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 12,499 | 441 | 3,569 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 12,474 | 423 | 3,556 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 12,256 | 430 | 3,483 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 11,877 | 485 | 3,353 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 11,344 | 570 | 3,182 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 10,687 | 559 | 2,999 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 10,115 | 553 | 2,837 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 9,737 | 540 | 2,713 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 9,417 | 510 | 2,610 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 9,159 | 498 | 2,526 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 9,005 | 485 | 2,474 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 8,584 | 456 | 2,359 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 8,183 | 455 | 2,259 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 7,807 | 446 | 2,158 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 7,340 | 428 | 2,038 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 7,193 | 423 | 1,987 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 7,128 | 409 | 1,963 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 7,017 | 399 | 1,927 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: LKQ has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: LKQ's current net profit margins (3.7%) are lower than last year (5%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: LKQ's earnings have declined by 11.8% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: LKQ's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: LKQ had negative earnings growth (-22.7%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Retail Distributors industry average (-21.8%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: LKQ's Return on Equity (8%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 11:04 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
LKQ Corporation is covered by 26 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Craig Kennison | Baird |
| John Babcock | Barclays |
| Gary Prestopino | Barrington Research Associates, Inc. |