A Fresh Look at LKQ (LKQ) Valuation Following Third-Quarter Earnings Beat

Simply Wall St

LKQ (LKQ) shares jumped after the company reported third-quarter profits that came in well above expectations, even though revenue slightly missed estimates and full-year guidance moved lower.

See our latest analysis for LKQ.

LKQ’s third-quarter earnings beat has helped shift sentiment after a rocky stretch. Just this week, the stock rebounded 2.1% following the results, though its share price return is still down nearly 18% year-to-date and the one-year total shareholder return sits at -21%. Despite recent operational streamlining and the Uni-Select acquisition adding a growth catalyst, investors remain watchful as economic headwinds and soft parts demand linger.

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With shares still trading nearly 40% below analyst targets and recent earnings surprising to the upside, investors must ask: is LKQ’s value overlooked, or is the market fairly pricing in the company’s future growth potential?

Most Popular Narrative: 43.7% Undervalued

LKQ’s fair value, according to the most followed narrative, sits well above its recent closing price. With nearly 44% upside, the narrative sets a striking price target and builds its case on key industry trends.

Increasing adoption of hybrid vehicles presents new revenue opportunities for LKQ, such as new battery-related parts, in addition to its ICE-related parts.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how a single strategic shift could justify such a lofty valuation? The real driver here is a powerful growth assumption about new and emerging auto technology. But there is much more behind the scenes. See which fundamental forecast lifts this fair value far above the current price. Don’t miss the details that could change how you see LKQ’s upside.

Result: Fair Value of $52.8 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, risks remain. Advancements in ADAS technology and ongoing supply chain bottlenecks could challenge LKQ’s collision business and timely order fulfillment.

Find out about the key risks to this LKQ narrative.

Build Your Own LKQ Narrative

If you see the story differently or want a fresh perspective, you can dive into the data and shape your own view in just minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your LKQ research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if LKQ might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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