NasdaqGS:EXPE

Stock Analysis Report

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Executive Summary

Expedia Group, Inc. operates as an online travel company worldwide.


Snowflake Analysis

Exceptional growth potential and overvalued.


Similar Companies

Share Price & News

How has Expedia Group's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events

Stable Share Price: EXPE's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months.


Market Performance


7 Day Return

6.7%

EXPE

-1.6%

US Online Retail

1.2%

US Market


1 Year Return

-30.4%

EXPE

63.9%

US Online Retail

16.8%

US Market

Return vs Industry: EXPE underperformed the US Online Retail industry which returned 63.9% over the past year.

Return vs Market: EXPE underperformed the US Market which returned 16.8% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

EXPEIndustryMarket
7 Day6.7%-1.6%1.2%
30 Day8.0%-1.8%4.9%
90 Day36.9%31.6%20.0%
1 Year-29.7%-30.4%63.9%63.9%19.3%16.8%
3 Year-39.0%-40.8%119.1%118.8%43.7%34.4%
5 Year-25.0%-28.4%295.6%294.7%75.5%56.6%

Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is Expedia Group's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is Expedia Group undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

1.1%

Undervalued compared to fair value


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: EXPE ($88.12) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($89.1)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EXPE is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: EXPE is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the US Online Retail industry average.

PE vs Market: EXPE is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the US market.


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate EXPE's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: EXPE is overvalued based on its PB Ratio (7.2x) compared to the US Online Retail industry average (4.8x).


Next Steps

Future Growth

How is Expedia Group forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 30 analysts?

100.2%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: EXPE is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.2%).

Earnings vs Market: EXPE is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: EXPE's is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: EXPE's revenue (21.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: EXPE's revenue (21.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: EXPE's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (51.5%).


Next Steps

Past Performance

How has Expedia Group performed over the past 5 years?

-35.0%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: EXPE is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: EXPE is currently unprofitable.


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: EXPE is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 35% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare EXPE's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: EXPE is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Online Retail industry (-7.4%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: EXPE has a negative Return on Equity (-39.1%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Next Steps

Financial Health

How is Expedia Group's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: EXPE's short term assets ($8.9B) exceed its short term liabilities ($7.9B).

Long Term Liabilities: EXPE's short term assets ($8.9B) do not cover its long term liabilities ($9.8B).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: EXPE's debt to equity ratio (223.3%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: EXPE's debt to equity ratio has increased from 90.2% to 223.3% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: EXPE's operating cash flow is negative, therefore debt is not well covered.

Interest Coverage: Insufficient data to determine if EXPE's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT.


Balance Sheet


Next Steps

Dividend

What is Expedia Group current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

0.64%

Forecast Dividend Yield


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate EXPE's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate EXPE's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if EXPE's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if EXPE's dividend payments have been increasing.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: EXPE is not paying a notable dividend for the US market.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of EXPE's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the US market.


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

1.1yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Peter Kern (52 yo)

0.33

Tenure

US$1,924,500

Compensation

Mr. Peter Maxwell Kern serves Vice Chairman of the Board at Expedia Group, Inc. since June 20, 2018 and serves its Director since August 9, 2005. He is Chief Executive Officer at Expedia Group, Inc. since ...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Peter's total compensation ($USD1.92M) is below average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD11.35M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Peter's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Barry Diller
Executive Chairman of the Board & Senior Executive15yrsUS$6.39m3.92%
$ 487.6m
Peter Kern
CEO & Vice Chairman0.33yrUS$1.92m0.065%
$ 8.1m
Eric Hart
CFO & Chief Strategy Officer0.67yrUS$2.20m0.0040%
$ 499.0k
Lance Soliday
Senior VP8.92yrsUS$932.56k0.0047%
$ 587.4k
Robert Dzielak
Chief Legal Officer & Secretary8.83yrsUS$4.90m0.023%
$ 2.9m
Tucker Moodey
President of Retail Product & Technology0.58yrno datano data
Michael Senno
Vice President of Investor Relationsno datano datano data
Sarah Gavin
Vice President of Global Communications & Corporate Brand0.75yrno datano data
Archana Singh
Chief People Officer1.5yrsno datano data
Susanne Svensson
Head Of Brand Marketing EMEAno datano datano data
John Kim
President of Platform & Marketplaces3.75yrsno datano data
Adam Jay
President and Co-Lead of Marketing0.58yrno datano data

1.1yrs

Average Tenure

49.5yo

Average Age

Experienced Management: EXPE's management team is not considered experienced ( 1.1 years average tenure), which suggests a new team.


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Barry Diller
Executive Chairman of the Board & Senior Executive15yrsUS$6.39m3.92%
$ 487.6m
Peter Kern
CEO & Vice Chairman0.33yrUS$1.92m0.065%
$ 8.1m
Gregory Mondre
Director0.25yrno datano data
Dara Khosrowshahi
Director15yrsUS$294.90k0.25%
$ 30.9m
A. Battle
Independent Director15yrsUS$324.90k0.033%
$ 4.1m
Craig Jacobson
Independent Director12.67yrsUS$336.85k0.023%
$ 2.9m
Chelsea Clinton
Independent Director3.42yrsUS$315.62k0.0041%
$ 507.8k
Alexander Von Furstenberg
Director4.67yrsUS$294.90k0.0071%
$ 878.6k
Samuel Altman
Independent Director0.92yrUS$263.77k0.014%
$ 1.8m
Julie Whalen
Independent Director1.17yrsUS$293.43kno data
Susan Athey
Independent Director4.67yrsUS$294.90k0.0024%
$ 304.9k
Jon Gieselman
Independent Director0.67yrUS$259.81k0.0017%
$ 210.3k

4.0yrs

Average Tenure

50yo

Average Age

Experienced Board: EXPE's board of directors are considered experienced (4 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: EXPE insiders have sold more shares than they have bought in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Expedia Group, Inc.'s company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Expedia Group, Inc.
  • Ticker: EXPE
  • Exchange: NasdaqGS
  • Founded: 1996
  • Industry: Internet and Direct Marketing Retail
  • Sector: Retail
  • Market Cap: US$12.445b
  • Shares outstanding: 141.23m
  • Website: https://www.expediagroup.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Expedia Group, Inc.
  • 1111 Expedia Group Way West
  • Seattle
  • Washington
  • 98119
  • United States

Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
EXPENasdaqGS (Nasdaq Global Select)YesCommon StockUSUSDJul 2005
E3X1DB (Deutsche Boerse AG)YesCommon StockDEEURJul 2005
E3X1XTRA (XETRA Trading Platform)YesCommon StockDEEURJul 2005
EXPESWX (SIX Swiss Exchange)YesCommon StockCHCHFJul 2005
0R1TLSE (London Stock Exchange)YesCommon StockGBUSDJul 2005
EXPEWBAG (Wiener Boerse AG)YesCommon StockATEURJul 2005
E3X1ETLX (Eurotlx)YesCommon StockITEURJul 2005
EXPE *BMV (Bolsa Mexicana de Valores)YesCommon StockMXMXNJul 2005
EXGR34BOVESPA (Bolsa de Valores de Sao Paulo)BDR EACH 2 REP 1 COMBRBRLMay 2019

Biography

Expedia Group, Inc. operates as an online travel company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Core Online Travel Agencies, Trivago, Vrbo, and Egencia. Its brand portfolio include Brand Expedia, a ...


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2020/08/12 00:13
End of Day Share Price2020/08/11 00:00
Earnings2020/06/30
Annual Earnings2019/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.