Brilliant Earth Group, Inc.

NasdaqGM:BRLT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$201.0m

Brilliant Earth Group Valuation

Is BRLT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BRLT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BRLT ($2.1) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($1.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BRLT is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BRLT?

Key metric: As BRLT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BRLT. This is calculated by dividing BRLT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BRLT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio67.2x
EarningsUS$426.00k
Market CapUS$201.05m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BRLT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BRLT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.5x
ELA Envela
28.9x26.8%US$185.9m
HZO MarineMax
16.2x31.0%US$627.5m
BBW Build-A-Bear Workshop
11.7x3.4%US$613.9m
ODP ODP
25.2x47.2%US$690.3m
BRLT Brilliant Earth Group
67.2x-180.1%US$201.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BRLT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (67.2x) compared to the peer average (20.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BRLT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TKLF Tokyo Lifestyle
2.2xn/aUS$15.83m
SSOK Sunstock
1xn/aUS$756.28k
MASN Maison Luxe
0.09xn/aUS$192.03k
EXPR.Q Express
0.000002xn/aUS$9.74k
BRLT 67.2xIndustry Avg. 16.5xNo. of Companies11PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BRLT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (67.2x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (16.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BRLT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BRLT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio67.2x
Fair PE Ratio0.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BRLT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (67.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (0.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BRLT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.10
US$3.00
+42.9%
23.6%US$4.00US$2.00n/a4
Dec ’25US$1.89
US$3.25
+72.0%
13.3%US$4.00US$3.00n/a4
Nov ’25US$1.69
US$3.25
+92.3%
13.3%US$4.00US$3.00n/a4
Oct ’25US$1.98
US$3.25
+64.1%
13.3%US$4.00US$3.00n/a4
Sep ’25US$1.92
US$3.25
+69.3%
13.3%US$4.00US$3.00n/a4
Aug ’25US$2.37
US$3.75
+58.2%
22.1%US$5.00US$3.00n/a4
Jul ’25US$2.19
US$3.75
+71.2%
22.1%US$5.00US$3.00n/a4
Jun ’25US$2.41
US$3.75
+55.6%
22.1%US$5.00US$3.00n/a4
May ’25US$2.51
US$3.75
+49.4%
22.1%US$5.00US$3.00n/a4
Apr ’25US$3.04
US$4.50
+48.0%
24.8%US$6.00US$3.00n/a4
Mar ’25US$2.71
US$4.43
+63.5%
30.3%US$6.00US$2.75n/a5
Feb ’25US$3.29
US$4.43
+34.7%
30.3%US$6.00US$2.75n/a5
Jan ’25US$3.72
US$4.45
+19.6%
29.8%US$6.00US$2.75n/a5
Dec ’24US$2.69
US$4.45
+65.4%
29.8%US$6.00US$2.75US$1.895
Nov ’24US$2.77
US$6.42
+131.6%
20.3%US$9.00US$5.00US$1.696
Oct ’24US$2.95
US$6.42
+117.5%
20.3%US$9.00US$5.00US$1.986
Sep ’24US$3.34
US$6.42
+92.1%
20.3%US$9.00US$5.00US$1.926
Aug ’24US$4.17
US$7.08
+69.9%
38.3%US$13.00US$5.00US$2.376
Jul ’24US$3.88
US$7.08
+82.6%
38.3%US$13.00US$5.00US$2.196
Jun ’24US$3.34
US$7.08
+112.1%
38.3%US$13.00US$5.00US$2.416
May ’24US$3.83
US$7.25
+89.3%
37.7%US$13.00US$5.00US$2.516
Apr ’24US$3.91
US$7.21
+84.5%
35.1%US$13.00US$5.00US$3.047
Mar ’24US$5.00
US$9.81
+96.3%
29.5%US$16.00US$6.00US$2.718
Feb ’24US$5.19
US$9.81
+89.1%
29.5%US$16.00US$6.00US$3.298
Jan ’24US$4.31
US$10.63
+146.5%
21.5%US$16.00US$8.00US$3.728
Dec ’23US$5.10
US$10.63
+108.3%
21.5%US$16.00US$8.00US$2.698

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/30 01:18
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/30 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Brilliant Earth Group, Inc. is covered by 10 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael BinettiCredit Suisse
Randal KonikJefferies LLC
Matthew BossJ.P. Morgan