See our latest analysis for Arhaus.
Arhaus’s recent share price jump, capped by an impressive 18% return over the last week, has caught the eye of investors. While the 1-year total shareholder return sits at a modest 3.8%, momentum appears to be building again after a period of slower performance. This suggests renewed optimism around the company’s outlook.
If you’re looking for more growth stories beyond home furnishings, this could be the perfect moment to discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.
Given Arhaus’s recent rally and solid returns, the key question now is whether shares remain undervalued and offer further upside, or if the market has already priced in the company’s future growth prospects.
Most Popular Narrative: 6.7% Undervalued
Arhaus's most-followed narrative suggests the shares are trading below the calculated fair value, with the last close at $10.48 versus a fair value estimate of $11.23. This difference points to room for upside if forecasts and assumptions play out as projected.
Ongoing investment in omnichannel platforms, digital content, and supply chain efficiency, including successful in-sourcing of distribution and implementation of new inventory/ERP systems, are expected to improve operating leverage and expand net margins as scale increases.
Curious what bold moves and aggressive expansion plans underpin this ambitious fair value estimate? The secret to this valuation lies in projections of margin gains and future revenue growth that challenge conventional expectations. Discover the core assumptions that could reshape Arhaus’s trajectory. Click through to unpack the financial story behind the stock.
Result: Fair Value of $11.23 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, persistent consumer uncertainty and rising input costs could challenge Arhaus’s growth narrative. These factors may potentially impact revenue momentum and future margin expectations.
Find out about the key risks to this Arhaus narrative.
Another View: Multiples Tell a Different Story
Taking a look at Arhaus's valuation through the lens of its price-to-earnings ratio, a different picture emerges. Shares are trading at 20.1 times earnings, which is higher than both the Specialty Retail industry average of 18.9 and the fair ratio of 15.2. This suggests investors are paying a premium, possibly making the stock more vulnerable to a shift in market sentiment. Could the premium be justified or is there risk in the current setup?
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
Build Your Own Arhaus Narrative
If you have a different take or want to dig into the numbers personally, you can easily craft your own narrative in just a few minutes. Do it your way.
A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward investors are optimistic about regarding Arhaus.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Arhaus might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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