Stockland Valuation

Is STKA.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of STKA.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: STKA.F ($3.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($5.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: STKA.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for STKA.F?

Key metric: As STKA.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for STKA.F. This is calculated by dividing STKA.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is STKA.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio41.2x
EarningsAU$305.00m
Market CapAU$12.55b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does STKA.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for STKA.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.3x
WPC W. P. Carey
22.6x7.0%US$12.4b
EPRT Essential Properties Realty Trust
30.6x13.0%US$6.0b
BNL Broadstone Net Lease
23.3x-5.0%US$3.4b
ESRT Empire State Realty Trust
40.8x-23.6%US$3.1b
STKA.F Stockland
41.2x17.1%US$12.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: STKA.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.2x) compared to the peer average (29.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does STKA.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American REITs Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
STKA.F 41.2xIndustry Avg. 16.2xNo. of Companies4PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: STKA.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.2x) compared to the Global REITs industry average (16.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is STKA.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

STKA.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio41.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate STKA.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst STKA.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$3.80
US$3.60
-5.3%
9.4%US$4.17US$2.99n/a9
Nov ’25US$3.50
US$3.64
+4.0%
9.5%US$4.23US$3.03n/a9
Oct ’25US$3.65
US$3.57
-2.1%
7.2%US$4.04US$3.15n/a9
Sep ’25n/a
US$3.36
0%
6.6%US$3.70US$3.00n/a10
Aug ’25n/a
US$3.13
0%
7.5%US$3.56US$2.90n/a10
Jul ’25n/a
US$3.21
0%
8.0%US$3.64US$2.95n/a10
Jun ’25n/a
US$3.19
0%
7.0%US$3.53US$2.95n/a10
May ’25US$2.73
US$3.13
+14.7%
6.3%US$3.48US$2.91n/a11
Apr ’25US$3.02
US$3.08
+1.9%
6.0%US$3.38US$2.84n/a11
Mar ’25US$2.90
US$3.08
+6.1%
6.0%US$3.38US$2.84n/a11
Feb ’25US$3.10
US$3.03
-2.3%
6.5%US$3.35US$2.74n/a10
Jan ’25US$3.30
US$3.02
-8.5%
7.4%US$3.43US$2.76n/a10
Dec ’24US$2.60
US$2.86
+9.9%
7.8%US$3.31US$2.53n/a11
Nov ’24US$2.14
US$2.71
+26.5%
7.3%US$3.17US$2.43US$3.5010
Oct ’24US$2.65
US$2.83
+7.0%
5.5%US$3.22US$2.64US$3.6510
Sep ’24n/a
US$2.80
0%
5.9%US$3.21US$2.59n/a11
Aug ’24US$2.71
US$2.82
+4.3%
5.2%US$3.10US$2.56n/a11
Jul ’24US$2.59
US$2.86
+10.4%
6.2%US$3.18US$2.50n/a11
Jun ’24US$2.84
US$2.83
-0.3%
6.5%US$3.11US$2.45n/a11
May ’24US$3.00
US$2.81
-6.2%
6.5%US$3.11US$2.45US$2.7312
Apr ’24US$2.60
US$2.68
+3.2%
4.9%US$2.90US$2.47US$3.0212
Mar ’24n/a
US$2.72
0%
6.3%US$3.09US$2.49US$2.9013
Feb ’24US$2.81
US$2.75
-2.0%
8.0%US$3.18US$2.49US$3.1013
Jan ’24US$2.55
US$2.66
+4.6%
9.5%US$3.08US$2.22US$3.3014
Dec ’23US$2.65
US$2.68
+1.5%
9.5%US$3.10US$2.24US$2.6014
Nov ’23US$2.28
US$2.54
+11.5%
8.2%US$2.89US$2.08US$2.1414

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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