Stockland Valuation

Is STKA.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of STKA.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$4.68
Fair Value
29.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: STKA.F ($3.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($4.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: STKA.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for STKA.F?

Key metric: As STKA.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for STKA.F. This is calculated by dividing STKA.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is STKA.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio39.4x
EarningsAU$305.00m
Market CapAU$12.03b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does STKA.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for STKA.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.7x
WPC W. P. Carey
21.9x6.4%US$12.2b
EPRT Essential Properties Realty Trust
28.3x13.0%US$5.6b
BNL Broadstone Net Lease
21x-4.7%US$3.1b
ESRT Empire State Realty Trust
35.4x-18.2%US$2.6b
STKA.F Stockland
39.4x17.0%US$12.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: STKA.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.4x) compared to the peer average (26.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does STKA.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American REITs Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
STKA.F 39.4xIndustry Avg. 16.3xNo. of Companies3PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: STKA.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.4x) compared to the Global REITs industry average (16.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is STKA.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

STKA.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio39.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate STKA.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst STKA.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$3.30
US$3.38
+2.4%
9.2%US$4.02US$2.82n/a10
Jan ’26US$3.12
US$3.45
+10.7%
8.6%US$4.04US$2.90n/a10
Dec ’25US$3.80
US$3.60
-5.3%
9.4%US$4.17US$2.99n/a9
Nov ’25US$3.50
US$3.64
+4.0%
9.5%US$4.23US$3.03n/a9
Oct ’25US$3.65
US$3.57
-2.1%
7.2%US$4.04US$3.15n/a9
Sep ’25n/a
US$3.36
0%
6.6%US$3.70US$3.00n/a10
Aug ’25n/a
US$3.13
0%
7.5%US$3.56US$2.90n/a10
Jul ’25n/a
US$3.21
0%
8.0%US$3.64US$2.95n/a10
Jun ’25n/a
US$3.19
0%
7.0%US$3.53US$2.95n/a10
May ’25US$2.73
US$3.13
+14.7%
6.3%US$3.48US$2.91n/a11
Apr ’25US$3.02
US$3.08
+1.9%
6.0%US$3.38US$2.84n/a11
Mar ’25US$2.90
US$3.08
+6.1%
6.0%US$3.38US$2.84n/a11
Feb ’25US$3.10
US$3.03
-2.3%
6.5%US$3.35US$2.74n/a10
Jan ’25US$3.30
US$3.02
-8.5%
7.4%US$3.43US$2.76US$3.1210
Dec ’24US$2.60
US$2.86
+9.9%
7.8%US$3.31US$2.53US$3.8011
Nov ’24US$2.14
US$2.71
+26.5%
7.3%US$3.17US$2.43US$3.5010
Oct ’24US$2.65
US$2.83
+7.0%
5.5%US$3.22US$2.64US$3.6510
Sep ’24n/a
US$2.80
0%
5.9%US$3.21US$2.59n/a11
Aug ’24US$2.71
US$2.82
+4.3%
5.2%US$3.10US$2.56n/a11
Jul ’24US$2.59
US$2.86
+10.4%
6.2%US$3.18US$2.50n/a11
Jun ’24US$2.84
US$2.83
-0.3%
6.5%US$3.11US$2.45n/a11
May ’24US$3.00
US$2.81
-6.2%
6.5%US$3.11US$2.45US$2.7312
Apr ’24US$2.60
US$2.68
+3.2%
4.9%US$2.90US$2.47US$3.0212
Mar ’24n/a
US$2.72
0%
6.3%US$3.09US$2.49US$2.9013
Feb ’24US$2.81
US$2.75
-2.0%
8.0%US$3.18US$2.49US$3.1013
Jan ’24US$2.55
US$2.66
+4.6%
9.5%US$3.08US$2.22US$3.3014
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
US$3.57
Fair Value
7.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/20 17:21
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Stockland is covered by 25 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Russell WrightAPP Securities Pty Ltd.
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Nicholas McGarrigleBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited