Charter Hall Group Valuation

Is CTOU.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CTOU.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CTOU.F ($9.89) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($20.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CTOU.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CTOU.F?

Key metric: As CTOU.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for CTOU.F. This is calculated by dividing CTOU.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is CTOU.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio12.2x
SalesAU$597.80m
Market CapAU$7.23b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does CTOU.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for CTOU.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.8x
BNL Broadstone Net Lease
7.6x5.0%US$3.4b
ESBA Empire State Realty OP
3.7xn/aUS$2.8b
ESRT Empire State Realty Trust
2.3x0.6%US$2.9b
EPRT Essential Properties Realty Trust
13.4x15.1%US$5.8b
CTOU.F Charter Hall Group
12.2x8.5%US$7.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: CTOU.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (12.2x) compared to the peer average (6.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does CTOU.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US REITs Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BSTT Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust
0.06xn/aUS$527.97m
SLVS Silver Star Properties REIT
0.3xn/aUS$25.24m
SQFT Presidio Property Trust
0.4xn/aUS$7.74m
PDNL.B Presidential Realty
0.001xn/aUS$15.14k
No more companies available in this PS range
CTOU.F 12.2xIndustry Avg. 3.3xNo. of Companies4PS02.44.87.29.612+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: CTOU.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (12.2x) compared to the US REITs industry average (3.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CTOU.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CTOU.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio12.2x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CTOU.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CTOU.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$9.89
US$10.88
+10.1%
8.4%US$12.66US$9.58n/a10
Nov ’25US$10.50
US$10.88
+3.7%
8.4%US$12.66US$9.58n/a10
Oct ’25n/a
US$10.86
0%
8.4%US$12.79US$9.68n/a10
Sep ’25US$9.78
US$10.06
+2.9%
8.8%US$11.28US$8.45n/a11
Aug ’25n/a
US$8.73
0%
11.0%US$10.65US$7.54n/a11
Jul ’25US$7.91
US$8.96
+13.2%
11.7%US$10.80US$7.64n/a11
Jun ’25n/a
US$9.03
0%
10.6%US$10.81US$7.65n/a11
May ’25US$7.09
US$8.59
+21.2%
11.6%US$10.47US$7.25n/a12
Apr ’25US$8.42
US$8.85
+5.1%
10.3%US$10.76US$7.45n/a12
Mar ’25US$8.00
US$8.51
+6.4%
9.7%US$10.66US$7.38n/a12
Feb ’25n/a
US$8.54
0%
9.9%US$10.46US$7.40n/a11
Jan ’25n/a
US$8.33
0%
11.6%US$10.42US$7.18n/a11
Dec ’24n/a
US$8.34
0%
11.1%US$10.40US$7.16n/a12
Nov ’24US$5.88
US$8.13
+38.3%
10.5%US$10.07US$6.93US$10.5012
Oct ’24US$6.20
US$8.62
+39.0%
8.6%US$10.23US$7.31n/a12
Sep ’24US$6.98
US$8.69
+24.5%
9.1%US$10.19US$7.29US$9.7813
Aug ’24n/a
US$9.37
0%
9.4%US$10.86US$7.61n/a13
Jul ’24US$7.13
US$9.76
+36.8%
9.5%US$11.00US$7.70US$7.9113
Jun ’24US$7.38
US$9.62
+30.3%
5.6%US$10.56US$8.64n/a13
May ’24US$7.24
US$10.09
+39.3%
4.2%US$10.86US$9.39US$7.0912
Apr ’24US$6.78
US$10.01
+47.6%
4.2%US$10.77US$9.31US$8.4212
Mar ’24US$9.64
US$10.10
+4.7%
5.5%US$10.94US$8.96US$8.0013
Feb ’24n/a
US$10.40
0%
6.5%US$11.99US$9.17n/a13
Jan ’24US$7.82
US$10.16
+29.9%
6.9%US$11.67US$8.93n/a14
Dec ’23US$8.56
US$10.23
+19.5%
6.7%US$11.69US$8.94n/a14
Nov ’23n/a
US$10.36
0%
6.9%US$11.63US$8.89US$5.8814

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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