NYSE:XIN

Stock Analysis Report

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Executive Summary

Xinyuan Real Estate Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in residential real estate development in the People’s Republic of China, the United States, and internationally. More Details


Snowflake Analysis

Fair value with limited growth.


Similar Companies

Share Price & News

How has Xinyuan Real Estate's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events

Stable Share Price: XIN has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months.


Market Performance


7 Day Return

-5.1%

XIN

2.5%

US Real Estate

-2.4%

US Market


1 Year Return

-50.3%

XIN

-14.4%

US Real Estate

18.2%

US Market

Return vs Industry: XIN underperformed the US Real Estate industry which returned -15.6% over the past year.

Return vs Market: XIN underperformed the US Market which returned 19.5% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

XINIndustryMarket
7 Day-5.1%2.5%-2.4%
30 Day8.6%12.5%4.2%
90 Day-4.2%14.6%6.3%
1 Year-46.1%-50.3%-12.1%-14.4%20.9%18.2%
3 Year-55.2%-64.7%-12.4%-18.9%41.2%31.8%
5 Year-11.1%-38.5%-8.8%-19.0%84.8%63.9%

Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is Xinyuan Real Estate's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is Xinyuan Real Estate undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

>50%

Undervalued compared to fair value


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: XIN ($2.03) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($30.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: XIN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: XIN is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the US Real Estate industry average.

PE vs Market: XIN is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the US market.


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate XIN's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: XIN is good value based on its PB Ratio (0.2x) compared to the US Real Estate industry average (1x).


Next Steps

Future Growth

How is Xinyuan Real Estate forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 1 analyst?

26.7%

Forecasted annual revenue growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: Insufficient data to determine if XIN's forecast earnings growth is above the savings rate (2.2%).

Earnings vs Market: Insufficient data to determine if XIN's earnings are forecast to grow faster than the US market

High Growth Earnings: Insufficient data to determine if earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: XIN's revenue (26.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (10% per year).

High Growth Revenue: XIN's revenue (26.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if XIN's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


Next Steps

Past Performance

How has Xinyuan Real Estate performed over the past 5 years?

-7.0%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: XIN is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: XIN is currently unprofitable.


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: XIN is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 7% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare XIN's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: XIN is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Real Estate industry (7.1%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: XIN has a negative Return on Equity (-3.47%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Next Steps

Financial Health

How is Xinyuan Real Estate's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: XIN's short term assets ($5.4B) exceed its short term liabilities ($4.2B).

Long Term Liabilities: XIN's short term assets ($5.4B) exceed its long term liabilities ($2.2B).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: XIN's debt to equity ratio (432.1%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: XIN's debt to equity ratio has increased from 175.7% to 432.1% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: XIN's debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (9.1%).

Interest Coverage: XIN is unprofitable, therefore interest payments are not well covered by earnings.


Balance Sheet


Next Steps

Dividend

What is Xinyuan Real Estate current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

4.93%

Current Dividend Yield


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: XIN's dividend (4.93%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.62%).

High Dividend: XIN's dividend (4.93%) is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (4.66%)


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: XIN has been paying a dividend for less than 10 years and during this time payments have been volatile.

Growing Dividend: XIN has only been paying a dividend for 9 years, and since then payments have not increased.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: XIN is paying a dividend but the company is unprofitable.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: Insufficient data to determine if a dividend will be paid in 3 years and that it will be covered by earnings.


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

1.3yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Yong Zhang (58 yo)

1.33yrs

Tenure

Mr. Yong Zhang serves as Non-Executive Chairman and Director of Xinyuan Property Management Service (Cayman) Ltd. since April 09, 2019. Mr. Zhang co-founded Xinyuan Real Estate Co., Ltd. in 1997 and serves ...


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Yong Zhang
Co-Founder1.33yrsno data18.74%
$ 29.9m
Yuyan Yang
Co-Founder & Director13.75yrsno data18.04%
$ 28.8m
Yu Chen
Chief Financial Officer1.33yrsno data0.0025%
$ 4.1k
Charles Wang
Investor Relations Directorno datano datano data
Shangrong Li
Executive Director & President of Xinyuan (China)0.92yrno datano data
Xuefeng Li
General Manager of Finance1.33yrsno datano data

1.3yrs

Average Tenure

49yo

Average Age

Experienced Management: XIN's management team is not considered experienced ( 1.3 years average tenure), which suggests a new team.


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Yong Zhang
Co-Founder1.33yrsno data18.74%
$ 29.9m
Yuyan Yang
Co-Founder & Director13.75yrsno data18.04%
$ 28.8m
Shangrong Li
Executive Director & President of Xinyuan (China)0.92yrno datano data
Yong Cui
Director14.17yrsno data0%
$ 0
Yuan-Ching Shen
Independent Director2.42yrsno datano data
Yifan Li
Independent Director3.67yrsno datano data
Hao Gao
Independent Director2.42yrsno datano data
Wendy Hayes
Independent Director0.75yrno datano data

3.0yrs

Average Tenure

51.5yo

Average Age

Experienced Board: XIN's board of directors are considered experienced (3 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have been diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 31.4%.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Xinyuan Real Estate Co., Ltd.'s company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Xinyuan Real Estate Co., Ltd.
  • Ticker: XIN
  • Exchange: NYSE
  • Founded: 1997
  • Industry: Real Estate Development
  • Sector: Real Estate
  • Market Cap: US$159.750m
  • Shares outstanding: 78.69m
  • Website: https://www.xyre.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Xinyuan Real Estate Co., Ltd.
  • China Central Place, Tower II
  • 27th Floor
  • Beijing
  • Beijing Province
  • 100025
  • China

Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
XINNYSE (New York Stock Exchange)YesSPONS ADRUSUSDDec 2007
3XRADB (Deutsche Boerse AG)YesSPONS ADRDEEURDec 2007

Biography

Xinyuan Real Estate Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in residential real estate development in the People’s Republic of China, the United States, and internationally. It develops resident ...


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2020/10/20 00:44
End of Day Share Price2020/10/19 00:00
Earnings2020/06/30
Annual Earnings2019/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.