Xinyuan Real Estate Valuation

Is XIN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of XIN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate XIN's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate XIN's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for XIN?

Key metric: As XIN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for XIN. This is calculated by dividing XIN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is XIN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	0.4x
Earnings	CN¥364.90m
Market Cap	CN¥142.61m

XIN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	2.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	17.8x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does XIN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for XIN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	66.7x
KANP Kaanapali Land	108.2x	n/a	US$77.5m
STHO Star Holdings	1.8x	n/a	US$150.5m
AXR AMREP	20.6x	n/a	US$200.7m
STRS Stratus Properties	136.3x	n/a	US$210.2m
XIN Xinyuan Real Estate	0.4x	n/a	US$19.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: XIN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (66.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does XIN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Real Estate Industry?

6 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	31.7x	38.8%
XIN Xinyuan Real Estate	0.4x	n/a	US$19.70m
STHO Star Holdings	1.8x	n/a	US$150.51m
STSR Strategic Student & Senior Housing Trust	2.5x	n/a	US$41.31m

6 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	31.7x	38.8%
XIN Xinyuan Real Estate	0.4x	n/a	US$19.70m

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: XIN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (0.4x) compared to the US Real Estate industry average (31.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is XIN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

XIN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	0.4x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate XIN's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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