Safehold Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Safehold is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 8.6% and 5.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 0.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 4.9% in 3 years.

Key information

8.6%

Earnings growth rate

-0.2%

EPS growth rate

Specialized REITs earnings growth	12.6%
Revenue growth rate	5.6%
Future return on equity	4.9%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	14 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:SAFE - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	427	138	N/A	N/A	7
12/31/2025	388	123	N/A	N/A	9
12/31/2024	364	110	N/A	N/A	8
9/30/2024	401	121	53	53	N/A
6/30/2024	396	-21	47	47	N/A
3/31/2024	396	-29	19	19	N/A
12/31/2023	377	-55	15	15	N/A
9/30/2023	325	-74	5	5	N/A
6/30/2023	314	115	9	9	N/A
3/31/2023	297	115	33	33	N/A
12/31/2022	279	135	65	65	N/A
9/30/2022	258	135	66	66	N/A
6/30/2022	234	89	72	72	N/A
3/31/2022	212	81	56	56	N/A
12/31/2021	193	73	27	27	N/A
9/30/2021	180	67	23	23	N/A
6/30/2021	169	61	18	18	N/A
3/31/2021	162	59	23	23	N/A
12/31/2020	159	59	36	36	N/A
9/30/2020	148	55	28	28	N/A
6/30/2020	131	46	18	18	N/A
3/31/2020	112	38	9	9	N/A
12/31/2019	93	28	-2	-2	N/A
9/30/2019	78	21	-2	-2	N/A
6/30/2019	68	17	4	4	N/A
3/31/2019	58	15	5	5	N/A
12/31/2018	50	12	14	14	N/A
9/30/2018	40	6	12	12	N/A
6/30/2018	35	3	N/A	13	N/A
3/31/2018	30	0	N/A	10	N/A
12/31/2017	23	-4	N/A	9	N/A
9/30/2017	24	1	N/A	8	N/A
6/30/2017	23	3	N/A	6	N/A
3/31/2017	22	6	N/A	5	N/A
12/31/2016	22	7	N/A	5	N/A
9/30/2016	21	7	N/A	5	N/A
6/30/2016	21	6	N/A	6	N/A
3/31/2016	20	6	N/A	7	N/A
12/31/2015	19	5	N/A	5	N/A
12/31/2014	13	5	N/A	7	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SAFE's forecast earnings growth (8.6% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: SAFE's earnings (8.6% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: SAFE's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: SAFE's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SAFE's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SAFE's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (4.9%).

Safehold Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 7.4% to US$28.45

Price target decreased by 8.3% to US$26.70

Price target decreased by 9.7% to US$29.11

Price target decreased by 7.8% to US$33.86

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%, revenue downgraded

Price target decreased by 12% to US$37.00

Recent updates

Now 22% overvalued

Safehold: Time To Cover This High-Beta Bond Proxy

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Safehold Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 28, 2024

Safehold To Star Holdings: A Paired Trade

Second quarter dividend of US$0.18 announced

Safehold Declares Third Quarter 2024 Common Stock Dividend, Payable on October 15, 2024

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Safehold Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Jul 29, 2024

Safehold: Two Requirements To Make It To $30

First quarter dividend of US$0.18 announced

Safehold Inc. Declares Second Quarter 2024 Common Stock Dividend, Payable on July 15, 2024

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Now 21% overvalued

Are The 6.6% Yielding A Rated Bonds A Safehold?

Safehold Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 06, 2024

Now 25% overvalued

Safehold Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 15, 2024

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.18 announced

Now 23% overvalued

Safehold Inc. Declares Common Stock Dividend for the First Quarter of 2024, Payable on April 15, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

After Q4 Results And Share Price Drop, Safehold Is Still A Buy

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

Safehold: All Eyes On Yields

Safehold Inc. Announces Management Changes

Price target increased by 7.4% to US$28.45

Upcoming dividend of US$0.18 per share at 3.2% yield

Independent Director recently sold US$427k worth of stock

Safehold Inc. Declares Dividend for the Fourth Quarter of 2023, Payable on January 16, 2024

Safehold: Greatly Positioned For An Outperformance (Rating Upgrade)

Safehold Inc. Announces Executive Changes

Safehold Inc. Announces Executive Changes

Take A Bite Of Star Holdings If You Are Bullish On Safehold

Price target decreased by 8.3% to US$26.70

Safehold: A Billionaire's Bet On Ground Leases

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Safehold Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 31, 2023

Safehold Is About To Be Clobbered By Interest Rates

Price target decreased by 9.7% to US$29.11

Safehold: Playing The Duration Risk Via A REIT Vehicle

Upcoming dividend of US$0.18 per share at 3.6% yield

Safehold The RINO: Defaults And Valuation

Safehold Inc. Declares Third Quarter 2023 Common Stock Dividend, payable on October 13, 2023

Safehold Inc. Declares Third Quarter 2023 Common Stock Dividend, Payable on Payable on October 13, 2023

Safehold: Simply Irreplaceable

Price target decreased by 7.8% to US$33.86

Safehold Inc. has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $139.1 million.

Safehold: An "All-In" Bet On Lower Rates

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat

Safehold: Undervalued Play On Ground Leases

Safehold Inc. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 01, 2023

Safehold: Long Duration REIT With High Interest Rate Sensitivity

Upcoming dividend of US$0.18 per share at 3.0% yield

Safehold Inc. Declares Dividend for the Second Quarter of 2023, Payable on July 14, 2023

Safe With Safehold - Could Buy More For 2024 And Beyond

CEO & Chairman recently bought US$246k worth of stock

Independent Director recently bought US$175k worth of stock

Safehold Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 20, 2023