Stock Analysis

The Bull Case For Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB) Could Change Following Surprise Q3 Net Loss and Revenue Drop

  • Pebblebrook Hotel Trust recently reported third quarter 2025 earnings, revealing revenue of US$398.72 million and a net loss of US$33.07 million, a shift from net income in the prior year quarter.
  • This marked a reversal from previous profitability, highlighting operational challenges despite earlier optimism for recovery in key urban markets.
  • We'll examine how this swing to a net loss and reduced revenues influences Pebblebrook's investment narrative and outlook.

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Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in Pebblebrook Hotel Trust, you need to believe in the continued recovery of urban hotel demand within major cities, overcoming labor cost pressures and evolving travel patterns. The swing to a net loss in the third quarter does directly impact the most important short term catalyst, urban market recovery, as it reflects ongoing headwinds in occupancy and pricing. For now, the biggest risk remains external factors stalling the momentum of business and international travel in these gateway cities.

The recent announcement of a US$150 million share repurchase program stands out, especially following the weaker quarterly results. While a buyback can indicate confidence in the company’s value, its effectiveness as a catalyst may be limited in the short term if operational challenges in core markets persist.

In contrast, what could matter most for investors is the persistent risk of slow demand recovery in Pebblebrook’s key urban locations...

Read the full narrative on Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (it's free!)

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust's outlook anticipates $1.6 billion in revenue and $58.3 million in earnings by 2028. This projection is based on a 2.8% annual revenue growth rate and an earnings improvement of $122.6 million from the current earnings level of -$64.3 million.

Uncover how Pebblebrook Hotel Trust's forecasts yield a $12.58 fair value, a 22% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

PEB Earnings & Revenue Growth as at Nov 2025
PEB Earnings & Revenue Growth as at Nov 2025

Two independent fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community cluster tightly between US$12.19 and US$12.58 per share. Considering recent earnings weakness, remember that travel and booking patterns can shift quickly, influencing future performance in ways not yet reflected by these valuations, explore several viewpoints before making decisions.

Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Pebblebrook Hotel Trust - why the stock might be worth just $12.19!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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