Major Estimate Revision • Nov 16
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 expected loss increased from -US$0.635 to -US$0.70 per share. Revenue forecast unchanged at US$358.9m. Hotel and Resort REITs industry in the US expected to see average net income decline 22% next year. Consensus price target of US$10.00 unchanged from last update. Share price was steady at US$9.92 over the past week. Reported Earnings • Nov 10
Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations Third quarter 2023 results: US$0.11 loss per share (down from US$2.93 profit in 3Q 2022). Revenue: US$92.0m (down 12% from 3Q 2022). Net loss: US$4.46m (down 104% from profit in 3Q 2022). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.7%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 4.3%. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.2% growth forecast for the Hotel and Resort REITs industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 99% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 14% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Upcoming Dividend • Sep 21
Upcoming dividend of US$0.05 per share at 2.0% yield Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 28 September 2023. Payment date: 16 October 2023. Trailing yield: 2.0%. Lower than top quartile of American dividend payers (5.0%). Lower than average of industry peers (4.1%). Announcement • Sep 14
Hersha Hospitality Trust Approves Cash Dividend on Common Share and Limited Partnership Unit for the Quarter Ending September 30, 2023, Payable October 16, 2023 Hersha Hospitality Trust announced its Board of Trustees has approved a cash dividend of $0.05 per common share and per limited partnership unit for the third quarter ending September 30, 2023. These common share dividends and limited partnership unit distributions are payable October 16, 2023 to holders of record as of September 29, 2023. Price Target Changed • Aug 30
Price target increased by 9.9% to US$9.19 Up from US$8.36, the current price target is an average from 8 analysts. New target price is 6.3% below last closing price of US$9.81. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of US$0.63 compared to earnings per share of US$3.08 last year. New Risk • Aug 14
New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 128% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.0x net interest cover). Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 128% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings (451% payout ratio). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (3.2% increase in shares outstanding). Major Estimate Revision • Aug 09
Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to US$0.63 loss The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 losses forecast to reduce from -US$0.705 to -US$0.63 per share. Revenue forecast steady at US$357.7m. Hotel and Resort REITs industry in the US expected to see average net income decline 8.3% next year. Consensus price target down from US$8.63 to US$8.36. Share price rose 7.8% to US$6.62 over the past week. Reported Earnings • Aug 03
Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations Second quarter 2023 results: FFO per share: US$0.4 (down from US$0.54 in 2Q 2022). Revenue: US$97.7m (down 21% from 2Q 2022). Funds from operations (FFO): US$14.6m (down 31% from 2Q 2022). FFO margin: 15% (down from 17% in 2Q 2022). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) surpassed analyst estimates significantly. Revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years compared to a 3.6% growth forecast for the Hotel and Resort REITs industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 95% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 1% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Announcement • Aug 03
Hersha Hospitality Trust Provides Earnings Guidance for the Third Quarter of 2023 Hersha Hospitality Trust provided earnings guidance for the third quarter of 2023. The company expects net loss applicable to common shareholders of $6.4 million to $3.4 million; Net loss per share is expected to be $0.16 to $0.08. Price Target Changed • Jun 27
Price target decreased by 7.4% to US$8.83 Down from US$9.53, the current price target is an average from 10 analysts. New target price is 52% above last closing price of US$5.82. Stock is down 41% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of US$0.68 compared to earnings per share of US$3.08 last year. Announcement • Jun 25
Hersha Hospitality Trust(NYSE:HT) dropped from Russell Small Cap Comp Growth Index Hersha Hospitality Trust(NYSE:HT) dropped from Russell Small Cap Comp Growth Index Upcoming Dividend • Jun 22
Upcoming dividend of US$0.05 per share at 3.4% yield Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 June 2023. Payment date: 17 July 2023. Trailing yield: 3.4%. Lower than top quartile of American dividend payers (4.9%). In line with average of industry peers (3.5%). Announcement • Jun 13
Hersha Hospitality Trust to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 02, 2023 Hersha Hospitality Trust announced that they will report Q2, 2023 results After-Market on Aug 02, 2023 Price Target Changed • May 01
Price target decreased by 10% to US$8.97 Down from US$9.98, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is 45% above last closing price of US$6.18. Stock is down 37% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of US$0.67 compared to earnings per share of US$3.08 last year. Reported Earnings • Apr 29
First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations First quarter 2023 results: US$0.044 FFO loss per share (improved from US$0.084 loss in 1Q 2022). Revenue: US$74.8m (down 7.6% from 1Q 2022). Funds from operations (FFO) loss: US$1.74m (loss narrowed 47% from 1Q 2022). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 15%. Revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years compared to a 4.9% growth forecast for the Hotel and Resort REITs industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 75% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 7% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Major Estimate Revision • Feb 22
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 45% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 expected loss increased from -US$0.40 to -US$0.58 per share. Revenue forecast unchanged at US$361.9m. REITs industry in the US expected to see average net income decline 13% next year. Consensus price target of US$10.22 unchanged from last update. Share price fell 8.0% to US$8.62 over the past week. Reported Earnings • Feb 17
Full year 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations Full year 2022 results: FFO per share: US$0.4 (up from US$0.83 loss in FY 2021). Funds from operations (FFO): US$16.4m (up US$48.7m from FY 2021). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) surpassed analyst estimates by 32%. Revenue is forecast to grow 88% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 8.0% growth forecast for the REITs industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 49% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 16% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Announcement • Jan 12
An unknown buyer acquired Courtyard Boston South Boston from Hersha Hospitality Trust (NYSE:HT). An unknown buyer acquired Courtyard Boston South Boston from Hersha Hospitality Trust (NYSE:HT) on January 10, 2023. Managing Director Alan Suzuki and Senior Director Matthew Enright of JLL Capital Markets Investment Sales Advisory represented Hersha Hospitality Trust.An unknown buyer completed the acquisition of Courtyard Boston South Boston from Hersha Hospitality Trust (NYSE:HT) on January 10, 2023. Announcement • Jan 06
Hersha Hospitality Trust to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Feb 15, 2023 Hersha Hospitality Trust announced that they will report Q4, 2022 results After-Market on Feb 15, 2023 Recent Insider Transactions • Jan 04
Insider recently sold US$337k worth of stock On the 30th of December, Michael Gillespie sold around 40k shares on-market at roughly US$8.46 per share. This transaction amounted to 100% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. This was the only on-market transaction from insiders over the last 12 months. Upcoming Dividend • Dec 22
Upcoming dividend of US$0.55 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 December 2022. Payment date: 18 January 2023. Trailing yield: 2.2%. Lower than top quartile of American dividend payers (4.5%). Lower than average of industry peers (4.0%). Board Change • Nov 16
Insufficient new directors No new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 1 experienced director. 7 highly experienced directors. Independent Trustee Jackson Hsieh was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2017. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Major Estimate Revision • Nov 02
Consensus EPS estimates have been upgraded. The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in 2022 has improved. 2022 revenue forecast increased from US$397.5m to US$405.4m. Forecast to become profitable, with EPS estimate increasing from -US$0.96 to US$2.23 per share. REITs industry in the US expected to see average net income decline 0.4% next year. Consensus price target down from US$11.20 to US$10.78. Share price rose 10% to US$9.48 over the past week. Reported Earnings • Oct 27
Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations Third quarter 2022 results: US$0.31 FFO loss per share (further deteriorated from US$0.02 loss in 3Q 2021). Revenue: US$104.2m (up 23% from 3Q 2021). Funds from operations (FFO) loss: US$12.0m (loss widened US$11.2m from 3Q 2021). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 3.0%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates significantly. Revenue is expected to decline by 4.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the REITs industry in the US are expected to grow by 6.9%. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 14% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 14% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Major Estimate Revision • Oct 19
Consensus forecasts updated The consensus outlook for 2022 has been updated. 2022 expected loss increased from -US$0.83 to -US$0.96 per share. Revenue forecast of US$397.1m unchanged since last update. REITs industry in the US expected to see average net income decline 0.5% next year. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$11.40. Share price rose 5.8% to US$8.25 over the past week. Upcoming Dividend • Sep 22
Upcoming dividend of US$0.05 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 September 2022. Payment date: 17 October 2022. The company last paid an ordinary dividend in December 2011. The average dividend yield among industry peers is 3.8%. Major Estimate Revision • Aug 10
Consensus forecasts updated The consensus outlook for 2022 has been updated. 2022 revenue forecast fell from US$429.7m to US$410.0m. 2022 losses expected to reduce from -US$1.13 to -US$0.99 per share. REITs industry in the US expected to see average net income decline 1.9% next year. Consensus price target of US$11.45 unchanged from last update. Share price was steady at US$10.73 over the past week. Reported Earnings • Aug 04
Second quarter 2022 earnings released: FFO per share: US$0.5 (vs US$0.20 loss in 2Q 2021) Second quarter 2022 results: FFO per share: US$0.5 (up from US$0.20 loss in 2Q 2021). Revenue: (down 100% from 2Q 2021). Funds from operations (FFO): US$20.7m (up US$28.7m from 2Q 2021). FFO margin: (up from net loss in 2Q 2021). The move to profitability was driven by lower expenses. Earnings per share (EPS) surpassed analyst estimates. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 21% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 12% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Board Change • Jul 27
Insufficient new directors No new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 1 experienced director. 7 highly experienced directors. Independent Trustee Jackson Hsieh was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2017. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Reported Earnings • Feb 17
Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind Full year 2021 results: US$1.03 loss per share (up from US$4.93 loss in FY 2020). Revenue: US$296.0m (up 70% from FY 2020). Net loss: US$40.2m (loss narrowed 79% from FY 2020). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.8%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 1.0%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 40%, compared to a 9.8% growth forecast for the reits industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 50% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 19% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Reported Earnings • Oct 27
Third quarter 2021 earnings released: US$0.51 loss per share (vs US$1.27 loss in 3Q 2020) The company reported a solid third quarter result with reduced losses, improved revenues and improved control over expenses. Third quarter 2021 results: Revenue: US$85.3m (up 158% from 3Q 2020). Net loss: US$19.8m (loss narrowed 60% from 3Q 2020). Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 44 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Recent Insider Transactions • Aug 31
Independent Trustee recently sold US$94k worth of stock On the 27th of August, Michael Leven sold around 10k shares on-market at roughly US$9.37 per share. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have been net sellers, collectively disposing of US$1.2m more than they bought in the last 12 months. Reported Earnings • Jul 29
Second quarter 2021 earnings released: US$0.73 loss per share (vs US$1.75 loss in 2Q 2020) The company reported a solid second quarter result with reduced losses, improved revenues and improved control over expenses. Second quarter 2021 results: Revenue: US$70.1m (up 314% from 2Q 2020). Net loss: US$28.6m (loss narrowed 58% from 2Q 2020). Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 55 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Major Estimate Revision • Mar 05
Analysts lower EPS estimates to -US$3.37 The 2021 consensus revenue estimate was lowered from US$276.3m to US$263.0m. The company's losses are expected to worsen with analysts lowering their EPS forecasts from -US$2.75 to -US$3.37 for the same period. The REITs industry in the US is expected to see an average net income growth of 2.9% next year. The consensus price target increased from US$9.61 to US$10.10. Share price is down by 3.0% to US$10.78 over the past week. Major Estimate Revision • Mar 02
Analysts update estimates The 2021 consensus revenue estimate was lowered from US$286.7m to US$256.9m. Earnings per share (EPS) saw an improvement, with analysts raising their estimates from -US$2.91 to -US$2.75 for the same period. The REITs industry in the US is expected to see an average net income growth of 2.8% next year. The consensus price target increased from US$9.00 to US$9.72. Share price is up 3.2% to US$11.01 over the past week. Price Target Changed • Feb 28
Price target raised to US$9.72 Up from US$9.00, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. The new target price is 13% below the current share price of US$11.12. As of last close, the stock is down 3.6% over the past year. Reported Earnings • Feb 26
Full year 2020 earnings released: US$3.01 FFO loss per share (vs US$1.74 profit in FY 2019) The company reported a poor full year result with weaker earnings, revenues and control over costs. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: US$173.7m (down 67% from FY 2019). Funds from operations (FFO) loss: US$116.1m (down 272% from profit in FY 2019). Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 99 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Analyst Estimate Surprise Post Earnings • Feb 26
Earnings beat expectations, revenue disappoints Revenue missed analyst estimates by 4.7%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 1.4%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 59%, compared to a 3.7% growth forecast for the REITs industry in the US. Is New 90 Day High Low • Feb 19
New 90-day high: US$9.45 The company is up 31% from its price of US$7.23 on 20 November 2020. The American market is up 10.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the REITs industry, which is up 4.0% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is US$26.24 per share. Price Target Changed • Feb 10
Price target raised to US$8.80 Up from US$6.98, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. The new target price is close to the current share price of US$8.43. As of last close, the stock is down 40% over the past year.