Getty Realty Valuation

Is GTY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GTY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GTY ($26.83) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($51.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GTY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GTY?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GTY key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue11.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA16x
PEG Ratio4.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GTY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GTY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average46.2x
ROIC Retail Opportunity Investments
47.5x3.4%US$1.7b
BFS Saul Centers
22xn/aUS$1.3b
AKR Acadia Realty Trust
91x3.7%US$1.8b
RPT RPT Realty
24.1x-115.2%US$1.1b
GTY Getty Realty
25x5.6%US$1.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GTY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25x) compared to the peer average (46.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GTY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Retail REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a4.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a4.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GTY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25x) compared to the US Retail REITs industry average (31.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GTY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GTY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25x
Fair PE Ratio31x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GTY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GTY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$26.83
US$30.60
+14.1%
4.4%US$33.00US$29.00n/a5
Mar ’25US$26.55
US$30.80
+16.0%
4.8%US$33.00US$29.00n/a5
Feb ’25US$27.99
US$30.80
+10.0%
4.8%US$33.00US$29.00n/a5
Jan ’25US$29.22
US$30.80
+5.4%
4.8%US$33.00US$29.00n/a5
Dec ’24US$30.09
US$31.20
+3.7%
8.0%US$35.00US$28.00n/a5
Nov ’24US$27.31
US$32.00
+17.2%
7.4%US$35.00US$28.00n/a5
Oct ’24US$27.73
US$35.80
+29.1%
6.5%US$39.00US$33.00n/a5
Sep ’24US$30.18
US$35.80
+18.6%
6.5%US$39.00US$33.00n/a5
Aug ’24US$32.18
US$36.00
+11.9%
6.1%US$39.00US$33.00n/a5
Jul ’24US$33.82
US$35.80
+5.9%
6.5%US$39.00US$33.00n/a5
Jun ’24US$33.77
US$35.80
+6.0%
6.5%US$39.00US$33.00n/a5
May ’24US$33.08
US$35.75
+8.1%
5.9%US$39.00US$33.00n/a6
Apr ’24US$36.03
US$35.58
-1.2%
6.6%US$39.00US$32.00n/a6
Mar ’24US$34.00
US$34.70
+2.1%
4.8%US$37.00US$32.00US$26.555
Feb ’24US$35.66
US$34.75
-2.6%
4.7%US$37.00US$32.00US$27.996
Jan ’24US$33.85
US$32.79
-3.1%
6.3%US$35.50US$30.00US$29.227
Dec ’23US$33.16
US$32.79
-1.1%
6.3%US$35.50US$30.00US$30.097
Nov ’23US$31.75
US$32.50
+2.4%
5.8%US$35.50US$30.00US$27.317
Oct ’23US$26.89
US$33.21
+23.5%
5.9%US$36.00US$30.00US$27.737
Sep ’23US$30.06
US$33.21
+10.5%
5.9%US$36.00US$30.00US$30.187
Aug ’23US$29.45
US$32.36
+9.9%
8.4%US$36.00US$27.00US$32.187
Jul ’23US$27.14
US$32.50
+19.7%
6.9%US$36.00US$29.00US$33.827
Jun ’23US$27.84
US$32.50
+16.7%
6.9%US$36.00US$29.00US$33.777
May ’23US$26.91
US$33.64
+25.0%
7.9%US$37.00US$29.00US$33.087
Apr ’23US$29.23
US$33.64
+15.1%
7.9%US$37.00US$29.00US$36.037
Mar ’23US$27.38
US$33.93
+23.9%
8.1%US$37.00US$29.00US$34.007

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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