Saul Centers Valuation

Is BFS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BFS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BFS ($39.78) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($31.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BFS is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BFS?

Key metric: As BFS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BFS. This is calculated by dividing BFS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BFS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21.6x
EarningsUS$44.57m
Market CapUS$1.36b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BFS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BFS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.7x
RPT RPT Realty
24.1x-115.2%US$1.1b
ALX Alexander's
23.6x-48.0%US$1.1b
GTY Getty Realty
28.7x10.8%US$1.8b
ROIC Retail Opportunity Investments
38.3x-19.6%US$2.3b
BFS Saul Centers
21.6x-22.0%US$1.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BFS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.6x) compared to the peer average (28.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BFS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Retail REITs Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SITC SITE Centers
1.2x-118.9%US$845.17m
RVIC Retail Value
0.2xn/aUS$5.72m
No more companies available in this PE range
BFS 21.6xIndustry Avg. 34.6xNo. of Companies6PE020406080100+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BFS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.6x) compared to the US Retail REITs industry average (34.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BFS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BFS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.6x
Fair PE Ratio24.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BFS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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