Stock Analysis

How Getty Realty’s Recent Portfolio Expansion Impacts Its Share Price in 2025

  • Wondering if Getty Realty might be a hidden gem or just fairly priced? This is a deep dive into how its shares stack up on value.
  • The stock recently dipped 1.6% over the last week but is up 2.7% for the month. Even though it is down 7.3% year-to-date, investors have plenty to discuss regarding its future direction.
  • Recent headlines focus on Getty Realty's ongoing property acquisitions and portfolio expansions, which have given investors new reasons to watch the stock. These developments have kept the company in the spotlight and contributed to evolving perceptions of both its growth story and risk profile.
  • The current valuation score stands at 5 out of 6, signaling the company appears undervalued in most key areas. Next, we will break down how this score is determined and explore a more dynamic way to identify true value by the end of the article.

Find out why Getty Realty's -6.7% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers.

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Approach 1: Getty Realty Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

A Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model estimates a company's value by projecting its future adjusted funds from operations and then discounting those cash flows back to today's value. For Getty Realty, this involves analyzing how much free cash the business can generate over time and what those future dollars are worth in present terms.

According to the latest data, Getty Realty produced $127.4 million in Free Cash Flow over the last twelve months. Analysts expect this figure to grow steadily, reaching $172.7 million by 2027. Simply Wall St uses analyst estimates for the next five years, while additional years are extrapolated to provide a broader ten-year outlook. By 2035, the company’s FCF is projected to approach $254.0 million.

After discounting all future projected cash flows, the estimated intrinsic fair value for Getty Realty stock is $62.80 per share. This figure is based on the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity model using Adjusted Funds From Operations, and all projections are in US dollars.

Compared to the current share price, this DCF analysis suggests Getty Realty may be undervalued by about 56.3%. This level of discount can be notable for value-focused investors.

Result: UNDERVALUED

Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Getty Realty is undervalued by 56.3%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 840 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows.

GTY Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025
GTY Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025

Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Getty Realty.

Approach 2: Getty Realty Price vs Earnings

For companies that are consistently profitable, the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio remains one of the most reliable ways to assess valuation. The PE ratio measures how much investors are willing to pay today for a dollar of current earnings. However, what constitutes a “fair” PE often depends on the company’s growth prospects and risk profile. A business expected to grow quickly or with very stable earnings often commands a higher ratio than slower-growing or riskier peers.

Getty Realty currently trades at a PE ratio of 22.2x. Compared to the average PE ratio of 26.0x across Retail REITs and a peer group average of 58.0x, Getty’s multiple suggests a notable discount to both industry norms and direct competitors. While on the surface this appears compelling, simply matching up PE ratios does not always tell the full story since company quality, growth outlook, profit margins, and risk can differ widely.

To give a more nuanced view, Simply Wall St calculates a proprietary “Fair Ratio” for each stock. In Getty’s case, that figure is 35.9x. This Fair Ratio goes beyond a peer or sector comparison, factoring in metrics like expected earnings growth, risk, profit margins, and company size. This makes it a more comprehensive benchmark for what Getty’s PE should be, given its unique profile.

The current PE ratio of 22.2x is well below the Fair Ratio of 35.9x. This means the stock is trading at a meaningful discount compared to where it would be fairly valued based on its fundamentals and outlook.

Result: UNDERVALUED

NYSE:GTY PE Ratio as at Nov 2025
NYSE:GTY PE Ratio as at Nov 2025

PE ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1414 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth.

Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Getty Realty Narrative

Earlier we mentioned that there's an even better way to understand valuation, so let's introduce you to Narratives. A Narrative is simply your story of what you believe will happen for a company like Getty Realty. It ties together your own assumptions about its future growth, earnings, and margins, and turns them into a personal fair value estimate.

Narratives connect the dots between what’s driving a company’s results, your financial forecast, and the current stock price. This makes the investment decision more transparent, dynamic, and truly yours. They are easy to use and available on Simply Wall St’s Community page, where millions of investors build, update, and share their Narratives in real-time.

With Narratives, you can clearly see how your expectations compare against others and instantly understand if Getty Realty’s current price is above or below your fair value. This helps you decide when or whether to buy or sell, and refines your thesis as new news or earnings come in.

For example, one Narrative projects fair value near $32 based on moderate growth and steady margins, while another sees much higher upside for Getty if acquisitions drive faster expansion. This shows just how much your perspective, and your story, shapes the numbers.

Do you think there's more to the story for Getty Realty? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!

NYSE:GTY Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
NYSE:GTY Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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