Farmland Partners Valuation

Is FPI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FPI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FPI ($12.27) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($6.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FPI is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FPI?

Key metric: As FPI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FPI. This is calculated by dividing FPI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FPI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio38.2x
EarningsUS$15.35m
Market CapUS$596.94m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FPI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FPI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.8x
UNIT Uniti Group
13.9x20.2%US$1.4b
SAFE Safehold
11.8x8.6%US$1.4b
FCPT Four Corners Property Trust
28.2x7.9%US$2.7b
OUT OUTFRONT Media
13.2x-21.5%US$3.0b
FPI Farmland Partners
38.2x-73.4%US$596.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FPI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.2x) compared to the peer average (16.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FPI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialized REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
FPI 38.2xIndustry Avg. 28.2xNo. of Companies3PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FPI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.2x) compared to the US Specialized REITs industry average (27.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FPI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FPI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio38.2x
Fair PE Ratio13.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FPI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FPI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$12.27
US$12.17
-0.8%
3.9%US$12.50US$11.50n/a3
Nov ’25US$11.60
US$12.63
+8.8%
7.1%US$14.00US$11.50n/a4
Oct ’25US$10.17
US$12.80
+25.9%
8.0%US$14.00US$11.50n/a5
Sep ’25US$10.24
US$13.20
+28.9%
8.5%US$15.00US$12.00n/a5
Aug ’25US$10.28
US$13.30
+29.4%
8.1%US$15.00US$12.00n/a5
Jul ’25US$11.26
US$13.30
+18.1%
8.1%US$15.00US$12.00n/a5
Jun ’25US$10.86
US$13.30
+22.5%
8.1%US$15.00US$12.00n/a5
May ’25US$11.13
US$13.30
+19.5%
8.1%US$15.00US$12.00n/a5
Apr ’25US$10.86
US$13.30
+22.5%
8.1%US$15.00US$12.00n/a5
Mar ’25US$11.49
US$13.30
+15.8%
8.1%US$15.00US$12.00n/a5
Feb ’25US$11.27
US$13.30
+18.0%
8.1%US$15.00US$12.00n/a5
Jan ’25US$12.48
US$13.30
+6.6%
8.1%US$15.00US$12.00n/a5
Dec ’24US$12.61
US$13.25
+5.1%
6.3%US$14.00US$12.00n/a4
Nov ’24US$10.59
US$13.13
+23.9%
6.8%US$14.00US$12.00US$11.604
Oct ’24US$10.26
US$13.13
+27.9%
6.8%US$14.00US$12.00US$10.174
Sep ’24US$11.18
US$13.20
+18.1%
7.4%US$14.00US$12.00US$10.245
Aug ’24US$11.40
US$13.00
+14.0%
6.9%US$14.00US$12.00US$10.285
Jul ’24US$12.21
US$12.80
+4.8%
5.8%US$14.00US$12.00US$11.265
Jun ’24US$11.50
US$12.75
+10.9%
6.5%US$14.00US$12.00US$10.864
May ’24US$10.39
US$12.88
+23.9%
5.7%US$14.00US$12.00US$11.134
Apr ’24US$10.70
US$12.88
+20.3%
5.7%US$14.00US$12.00US$10.864
Mar ’24US$10.66
US$13.20
+23.8%
12.8%US$16.50US$12.00US$11.495
Feb ’24US$12.92
US$15.60
+20.7%
7.4%US$17.00US$14.00US$11.275
Jan ’24US$12.46
US$15.60
+25.2%
7.4%US$17.00US$14.00US$12.485
Dec ’23US$13.28
US$15.60
+17.5%
7.4%US$17.00US$14.00US$12.615
Nov ’23US$14.07
US$15.80
+12.3%
8.2%US$17.00US$14.00US$10.595

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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