Stock Analysis

Does COLD’s Reaffirmed Guidance Reflect Confidence in Its Long-Term Warehouse Strategy?

  • Americold Realty Trust, Inc. recently reported third-quarter 2025 results, with revenue and sales declining year-over-year to US$663.67 million and US$607.01 million, respectively, and net loss widening to US$11.37 million.
  • The company maintained its full-year 2025 guidance, indicating expectations for flat to slightly negative warehouse segment revenue growth and a narrower range of new inorganic NOI contributions.
  • We’ll examine how the reaffirmed yet cautious guidance and higher net loss may influence Americold’s investment narrative moving forward.

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Americold Realty Trust Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in Americold Realty Trust, you need to believe in the long-term structural demand for cold storage logistics driven by global food consumption and its growth initiatives internationally. The recent quarterly revenue decline and wider net loss highlight ongoing headwinds and may keep short-term warehouse revenue growth muted, but the guidance reaffirmation indicates a limited immediate impact on the company’s strategic catalysts or its most pressing risk: sustained pressure on occupancy and pricing.

The company’s decision to reiterate its 2025 guidance for warehouse segment revenue growth between flat and -4.0% is especially relevant, as it signals management’s continued caution amid persistent macro and industry-specific pressures. This guidance narrows the range of possible new income from acquisitions, keeping investor focus on occupancy rates and revenue stability as the primary short-term metrics to watch.

Yet, despite cautious guidance, investors should be aware that ongoing weak occupancy rates might...

Read the full narrative on Americold Realty Trust (it's free!)

Americold Realty Trust's outlook forecasts $3.1 billion in revenue and $92.8 million in earnings by 2028. This is based on an expected 5.6% annual revenue growth rate and a $147.6 million increase in earnings from the current loss of $54.8 million.

Uncover how Americold Realty Trust's forecasts yield a $16.94 fair value, a 57% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

COLD Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
COLD Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Seven Simply Wall St Community members estimate Americold’s fair value between US$15 and US$26.19 per share. Given warehouse segment revenue guidance of up to negative 4 percent, these different views show why it is valuable to consider multiple opinions on expected recovery paths.

Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Americold Realty Trust - why the stock might be worth just $15.00!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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