Acadia Realty Trust Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Acadia Realty Trust is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 25.5% and 11.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 25.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 3.6% in 3 years.

Key information

25.5%

Earnings growth rate

25.8%

EPS growth rate

Retail REITs earnings growth	8.7%
Revenue growth rate	11.3%
Future return on equity	3.6%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	19 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Acadia Realty Trust: Improving Balance Sheet At An Extreme Valuation

Dec 03

Acadia Realty Trust: Strong NOI Growth Pipeline But Little Immediate Benefit From Fed Easing

Aug 19

Acadia Realty Trust: Safe 4.2% Dividend Yield From Street Retail, But I'm Not Buying

Apr 12

Acadia Realty Trust Q4 results beat estimates, co sees 2023 FFO in-line with consensus

Feb 14

Acadia Realty Trust declares $0.18 dividend

Jan 17

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:AKR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	426	57	71	N/A	2
12/31/2025	347	52	52	N/A	4
12/31/2024	310	26	58	N/A	4
9/30/2024	367	11	143	143	N/A
6/30/2024	344	1	124	124	N/A
3/31/2024	341	9	122	122	N/A
12/31/2023	332	19	156	156	N/A
9/30/2023	342	24	148	148	N/A
6/30/2023	295	-30	157	158	N/A
3/31/2023	292	-40	166	166	N/A
12/31/2022	294	-36	133	133	N/A
9/30/2022	282	-37	134	134	N/A
6/30/2022	324	31	119	119	N/A
3/31/2022	313	35	101	101	N/A
12/31/2021	299	23	105	105	N/A
9/30/2021	279	9	93	93	N/A
6/30/2021	258	-12	95	95	N/A
3/31/2021	247	4	107	107	N/A
12/31/2020	250	-9	104	104	N/A
9/30/2020	268	23	114	114	N/A
6/30/2020	292	42	124	124	N/A
3/31/2020	303	32	135	135	N/A
12/31/2019	297	53	131	131	N/A
9/30/2019	300	39	124	124	N/A
6/30/2019	291	37	109	109	N/A
3/31/2019	284	36	93	93	N/A
12/31/2018	272	31	96	96	N/A
9/30/2018	268	45	95	95	N/A
6/30/2018	268	49	N/A	95	N/A
3/31/2018	263	53	N/A	113	N/A
12/31/2017	259	61	N/A	115	N/A
9/30/2017	246	60	N/A	142	N/A
6/30/2017	224	53	N/A	138	N/A
3/31/2017	208	59	N/A	118	N/A
12/31/2016	195	72	N/A	110	N/A
9/30/2016	197	61	N/A	85	N/A
6/30/2016	211	69	N/A	103	N/A
3/31/2016	222	77	N/A	105	N/A
12/31/2015	213	65	N/A	114	N/A
9/30/2015	228	65	N/A	106	N/A
6/30/2015	219	80	N/A	90	N/A
3/31/2015	213	65	N/A	87	N/A
12/31/2014	292	70	N/A	83	N/A
9/30/2014	201	68	N/A	85	N/A
6/30/2014	196	49	N/A	86	N/A
3/31/2014	186	45	N/A	83	N/A
12/31/2013	181	33	N/A	65	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AKR's forecast earnings growth (25.5% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: AKR's earnings (25.5% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: AKR's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: AKR's revenue (11.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AKR's revenue (11.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: AKR's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (3.6%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/27 08:51
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Acadia Realty Trust is covered by 20 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Paul Adornato	BMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Floris Gerbrand van Dijkum	Boenning & Scattergood, Inc.
Craig Schmidt	BofA Global Research

Acadia Realty Trust Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 7.1% to US$27.50

Price target increased by 8.3% to US$26.17

Price target increased by 7.2% to US$24.83

Price target increased by 8.5% to US$21.33

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Acadia Realty Trust Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2024

Recent updates

Upcoming dividend of US$0.19 per share

Price target increased by 7.1% to US$27.50

TPG Real Estate and Acadia Realty Trust (NYSE:AKR) completed the acquisition of LINQ Promenade from Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (NasdaqGS:CZR).

Acadia Realty Trust: Improving Balance Sheet At An Extreme Valuation

Price target increased by 8.3% to US$26.17

Third quarter dividend of US$0.19 announced

Acadia Realty Trust Announces Quarter Cash Dividend, Payable on January 15, 2025

Acadia Realty Trust (NYSE:AKR) acquired 8,300-square-foot retail building at Brooklyn, New York from MARK Capital Management Limited for $18.5 million.

Price target increased by 7.2% to US$24.83

Acadia Realty Trust (NYSE:AKR) acquired Bleecker Street Portfolio for $20.3 million.

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat

Acadia Realty Trust to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 28, 2024

Acadia Realty Trust has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering.

Upcoming dividend of US$0.19 per share

Price target increased by 8.5% to US$21.33

Acadia Realty Trust: Strong NOI Growth Pipeline But Little Immediate Benefit From Fed Easing

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Second quarter dividend of US$0.19 announced

Acadia Realty Trust Announces Third Quarter Cash Dividend, Payable on October 15, 2024

Second quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

New minor risk - Negative shareholders equity

Acadia Realty Trust to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Jul 30, 2024

Now 20% undervalued

Now 21% undervalued

Chief Accounting Officer & Senior VP notifies of intention to sell stock

First quarter dividend of US$0.18 announced

Acadia Realty Trust Announces Quarterly Dividend, Payable on July 15, 2024

First quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Now 21% undervalued

Acadia Realty Trust: Safe 4.2% Dividend Yield From Street Retail, But I'm Not Buying

Acadia Realty Trust to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 29, 2024

Upcoming dividend of US$0.18 per share

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Insider exercised options and sold US$831k worth of stock

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.18 announced

Acadia Realty Trust, Annual General Meeting, May 02, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Acadia Realty Trust Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2024

Acadia Realty Trust Promotes Reggie Livingston to Executive Vice President, Chief Investment Officer

Price target increased by 7.1% to US$18.00

Price target increased by 8.3% to US$17.33

Acadia Realty Trust to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 13, 2024

Acadia Realty Trust has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $100.5 million.

Upcoming dividend of US$0.18 per share at 4.3% yield

Independent Trustee recently sold US$448k worth of stock

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 11%

Independent Trustee notifies of intention to sell stock

Executive VP & CFO notifies of intention to sell stock

Acadia Realty Trust: Navigating A Dynamic Market With A Strategic Portfolio

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Acadia Realty Trust Announces Quarterly Dividend, Payable on January 12, 2024

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: FFO per share: US$0.3 (vs US$0.27 in 3Q 2022)

Acadia Realty Trust Revises Earnings Guidance for 2023

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Acadia Realty Trust to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 30, 2023

Upcoming dividend of US$0.18 per share at 4.7% yield

Now 21% undervalued

Now 21% undervalued

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Acadia Realty Trust: 11% Discount And A Fully Covered 4.8% Yield

Acadia Realty Trust Announces Quarterly Dividend, Payable on October 13, 2023

Acadia Realty Trust Revises Earnings Guidance for the Year 2023

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Acadia Realty Trust to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 01, 2023

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Upcoming dividend of US$0.18 per share at 5.1% yield

Insider exercised options and sold US$698k worth of stock

Acadia Realty Trust Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on July 14, 2023