Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc.

NYSE:AHT.PRI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$49.0m

Ashford Hospitality Trust Valuation

Is AHT.PRI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AHT.PRI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AHT.PRI ($14.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($519.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AHT.PRI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AHT.PRI?

Key metric: As AHT.PRI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AHT.PRI. This is calculated by dividing AHT.PRI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AHT.PRI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio2.8x
EarningsUS$17.08m
Market CapUS$48.97m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AHT.PRI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AHT.PRI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average58.4x
HT Hersha Hospitality Trust
52.1x-60.2%US$482.9m
INN Summit Hotel Properties
86.3x-113.0%US$758.6m
XHR Xenia Hotels & Resorts
62.8x11.7%US$1.5b
RLJ RLJ Lodging Trust
32.5x-31.9%US$1.5b
AHT.PRI Ashford Hospitality Trust
2.8x-217.7%US$49.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AHT.PRI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.8x) compared to the peer average (58.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AHT.PRI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Hotel and Resort REITs Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.17.9x1.1%
AHT.PRI Ashford Hospitality Trust
2.8x-217.7%US$48.97m
AHT.PRI 2.8xIndustry Avg. 17.9xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.17.9x1.1%
AHT.PRI Ashford Hospitality Trust
2.8x-217.7%US$48.97m
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AHT.PRI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.8x) compared to the Global Hotel and Resort REITs industry average (17.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AHT.PRI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AHT.PRI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio2.8x
Fair PE Ratio2.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AHT.PRI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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