Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc.

NYSE:BHR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$247.0m

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Valuation

Is BHR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BHR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BHR ($3.35) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($18.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BHR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BHR?

Key metric: As BHR is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for BHR. This is calculated by dividing BHR's market cap by their current revenue.
What is BHR's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
SalesUS$732.34m
Market CapUS$246.97m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BHR's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BHR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
CLDT Chatham Lodging Trust
1.4x3.4%US$435.6m
HT Hersha Hospitality Trust
1.1x3.2%US$482.9m
SVC Service Properties Trust
0.2x-8.9%US$431.6m
INN Summit Hotel Properties
0.9x1.4%US$758.6m
BHR Braemar Hotels & Resorts
0.3x-0.2%US$247.0m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BHR is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does BHR's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Hotel and Resort REITs Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BHR 0.3xIndustry Avg. 6.2xNo. of Companies4PS00.61.21.82.43+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BHR is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the Global Hotel and Resort REITs industry average (6.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BHR's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BHR PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BHR is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BHR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$3.35
US$3.25
-3.0%
7.7%US$3.50US$3.00n/a2
Nov ’25US$2.76
US$4.17
+51.0%
31.5%US$6.00US$3.00n/a3
Oct ’25US$3.04
US$4.17
+37.1%
31.5%US$6.00US$3.00n/a3
Sep ’25US$3.11
US$4.17
+34.0%
31.5%US$6.00US$3.00n/a3
Aug ’25US$3.27
US$4.83
+47.8%
46.5%US$8.00US$3.00n/a3
Jul ’25US$2.49
US$4.83
+94.1%
46.5%US$8.00US$3.00n/a3
Jun ’25US$2.79
US$4.83
+73.2%
46.5%US$8.00US$3.00n/a3
May ’25US$2.69
US$4.83
+79.7%
61.1%US$9.00US$2.50n/a3
Apr ’25US$2.02
US$4.83
+139.3%
61.1%US$9.00US$2.50n/a3
Mar ’25US$2.14
US$7.00
+227.1%
57.1%US$11.00US$3.00n/a2
Feb ’25US$2.35
US$5.67
+141.1%
66.6%US$11.00US$3.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$2.50
US$5.67
+126.7%
66.6%US$11.00US$3.00n/a3
Dec ’24US$2.34
US$5.67
+142.2%
66.6%US$11.00US$3.00n/a3
Nov ’24US$2.53
US$6.50
+156.9%
59.9%US$12.00US$3.50US$2.763
Oct ’24US$2.77
US$6.50
+134.7%
59.9%US$12.00US$3.50US$3.043
Sep ’24US$2.75
US$6.83
+148.5%
54.2%US$12.00US$3.50US$3.113
Aug ’24US$3.63
US$8.00
+120.4%
51.5%US$15.00US$5.00US$3.274
Jul ’24US$4.02
US$8.25
+105.2%
48.0%US$15.00US$5.00US$2.494
Jun ’24US$4.04
US$8.25
+104.2%
48.0%US$15.00US$5.00US$2.794
May ’24US$3.90
US$8.75
+124.4%
43.0%US$15.00US$5.00US$2.694
Apr ’24US$3.86
US$8.75
+126.7%
43.0%US$15.00US$5.00US$2.024
Mar ’24US$4.68
US$9.00
+92.3%
48.0%US$15.00US$5.00US$2.143
Feb ’24US$5.29
US$9.13
+72.5%
40.3%US$15.00US$5.00US$2.354
Jan ’24US$4.11
US$9.38
+128.1%
36.4%US$15.00US$6.00US$2.504
Dec ’23US$3.68
US$9.38
+154.8%
36.4%US$15.00US$6.00US$2.344
Nov ’23US$4.88
US$10.75
+120.3%
34.4%US$16.00US$6.00US$2.534

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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