Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc.

NYSE:AHH Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.0b

Armada Hoffler Properties Valuation

Is AHH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AHH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AHH ($10.37) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($12.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AHH is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AHH?

Key metric: As AHH is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AHH. This is calculated by dividing AHH's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AHH's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.1x
SalesUS$756.90m
Market CapUS$1.05b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AHH's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AHH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.3x
GNL Global Net Lease
2.1x-1.7%US$1.7b
CTO CTO Realty Growth
4.9x11.5%US$584.2m
GOOD Gladstone Commercial
4.8x2.1%US$707.3m
ALEX Alexander & Baldwin
5.5x-9.0%US$1.3b
AHH Armada Hoffler Properties
1.1x-26.2%US$1.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AHH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the peer average (4.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AHH's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US REITs Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BSTT Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust
0.06xn/aUS$527.97m
HHDS Highlands REIT
0.3xn/aUS$10.70m
PDNL.B Presidential Realty
0.001xn/aUS$15.14k
No more companies available in this PS range
AHH 1.1xIndustry Avg. 3.5xNo. of Companies5PS0246810+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AHH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the US REITs industry average (3.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AHH's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AHH PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.1x
Fair PS Ratio1.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AHH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AHH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$10.37
US$11.75
+13.3%
9.5%US$13.00US$10.00n/a5
Dec ’25US$11.05
US$11.75
+6.3%
9.5%US$13.00US$10.00n/a5
Nov ’25US$10.75
US$11.50
+7.0%
14.8%US$13.50US$8.50n/a5
Oct ’25US$10.93
US$11.60
+6.1%
13.7%US$13.00US$8.50n/a5
Sep ’25US$12.31
US$11.85
-3.7%
14.5%US$13.00US$8.50n/a5
Aug ’25US$11.87
US$11.65
-1.9%
15.0%US$13.00US$8.50n/a5
Jul ’25US$10.97
US$11.88
+8.2%
16.4%US$13.00US$8.50n/a4
Jun ’25US$11.34
US$11.88
+4.7%
16.4%US$13.00US$8.50n/a4
May ’25US$10.61
US$11.50
+8.4%
18.4%US$13.00US$8.50n/a3
Apr ’25US$10.27
US$11.67
+13.6%
19.3%US$13.50US$8.50n/a3
Mar ’25US$10.40
US$13.00
+25.0%
23.2%US$17.00US$8.50n/a4
Feb ’25US$12.04
US$13.00
+8.0%
23.2%US$17.00US$8.50n/a4
Jan ’25US$12.37
US$12.63
+2.1%
24.0%US$17.00US$8.50n/a4
Dec ’24US$11.37
US$12.63
+11.0%
24.0%US$17.00US$8.50US$11.054
Nov ’24US$10.09
US$13.13
+30.1%
19.5%US$17.00US$10.00US$10.754
Oct ’24US$10.24
US$13.50
+31.8%
18.3%US$17.00US$10.00US$10.934
Sep ’24US$11.45
US$13.50
+17.9%
18.3%US$17.00US$10.00US$12.314
Aug ’24US$12.12
US$13.50
+11.4%
18.3%US$17.00US$10.00US$11.874
Jul ’24US$11.68
US$13.63
+16.7%
18.2%US$17.00US$10.00US$10.974
Jun ’24US$11.05
US$13.63
+23.3%
18.2%US$17.00US$10.00US$11.344
May ’24US$11.73
US$14.25
+21.5%
12.5%US$17.00US$12.00US$10.614
Apr ’24US$11.81
US$13.88
+17.5%
14.0%US$17.00US$12.00US$10.274
Mar ’24US$12.84
US$13.90
+8.3%
12.5%US$17.00US$12.00US$10.405
Feb ’24US$12.60
US$13.60
+7.9%
13.0%US$17.00US$12.00US$12.045
Jan ’24US$11.50
US$13.70
+19.1%
12.6%US$17.00US$12.00US$12.375
Dec ’23US$12.15
US$13.70
+12.8%
12.6%US$17.00US$12.00US$11.375

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/24 03:10
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc. is covered by 12 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David RodgersBaird
Nicholas ThillmanBaird
Jeffrey SpectorBofA Global Research