Country Garden Holdings Company Limited

OTCPK:CTRY.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.7b

Country Garden Holdings Valuation

Is CTRY.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CTRY.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate CTRY.F's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate CTRY.F's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CTRY.F?

Key metric: As CTRY.F barely has revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for CTRY.F. This is calculated by dividing CTRY.F's market cap by their current book value.
What is CTRY.F's PB Ratio?
PB Ration/a
BookCN¥155.06b
Market CapCN¥12.48b

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does CTRY.F's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for CTRY.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.2x
FOR Forestar Group
0.9x2.9%US$1.5b
HHH Howard Hughes Holdings
1.5x108.6%US$4.0b
MLP Maui Land & Pineapple Company
13.2xn/aUS$449.4m
STRS Stratus Properties
1xn/aUS$200.4m
CTRY.F Country Garden Holdings
n/a79.3%US$13.4b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: Insufficient data to calculate CTRY.F's Price-To-Book Ratio vs. peers for valuation analysis.

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does CTRY.F's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Real Estate Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CTRY.F is unprofitableIndustry Avg. 1.1xNo. of Companies10PB00.81.62.43.24+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: Insufficient data to calculate CTRY.F's Price-To-Book Ratio vs. industry for valuation analysis.

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CTRY.F's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CTRY.F PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ration/a
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CTRY.F's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CTRY.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.18
US$0.078
-56.4%
30.6%US$0.13US$0.05n/a9
Nov ’25n/a
US$0.08
0%
30.6%US$0.13US$0.052n/a9
Oct ’25US$0.20
US$0.079
-60.3%
30.3%US$0.13US$0.052n/a9
Sep ’25n/a
US$0.079
0%
30.4%US$0.13US$0.052n/a9
Aug ’25n/a
US$0.077
0%
30.7%US$0.13US$0.051n/a9
Jul ’25US$0.066
US$0.073
+10.5%
21.6%US$0.10US$0.051n/a10
Jun ’25US$0.15
US$0.074
-52.1%
19.3%US$0.10US$0.051n/a10
May ’25US$0.10
US$0.081
-19.0%
22.9%US$0.12US$0.051n/a11
Apr ’25US$0.06
US$0.081
+35.0%
22.9%US$0.12US$0.051n/a11
Mar ’25US$0.081
US$0.094
+15.4%
23.1%US$0.13US$0.064n/a12
Feb ’25US$0.082
US$0.097
+19.0%
21.1%US$0.13US$0.065n/a12
Jan ’25US$0.094
US$0.12
+23.5%
52.6%US$0.32US$0.066n/a13
Dec ’24US$0.11
US$0.12
+4.2%
50.5%US$0.31US$0.064n/a13
Nov ’24US$0.09
US$0.14
+54.6%
55.8%US$0.31US$0.064n/a15
Oct ’24US$0.12
US$0.17
+39.9%
46.6%US$0.31US$0.069US$0.2016
Sep ’24US$0.12
US$0.18
+47.5%
40.2%US$0.31US$0.096n/a17
Aug ’24US$0.21
US$0.29
+39.6%
25.2%US$0.43US$0.12n/a17
Jul ’24n/a
US$0.32
0%
12.8%US$0.43US$0.25US$0.06617
Jun ’24n/a
US$0.32
0%
12.5%US$0.44US$0.26US$0.1517
May ’24US$0.27
US$0.33
+23.3%
12.2%US$0.44US$0.26US$0.1017
Apr ’24n/a
US$0.39
0%
42.9%US$0.99US$0.26US$0.0616
Mar ’24US$0.32
US$0.47
+45.6%
34.9%US$0.99US$0.34US$0.08116
Feb ’24US$0.37
US$0.47
+25.9%
34.8%US$1.01US$0.34US$0.08216
Jan ’24US$0.34
US$0.45
+31.7%
39.1%US$0.98US$0.22US$0.09415
Dec ’23US$0.37
US$0.44
+19.9%
40.4%US$0.96US$0.21US$0.1115
Nov ’23US$0.15
US$0.40
+168.1%
45.3%US$0.94US$0.18US$0.0917

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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