Swedencare AB (publ)

OTCPK:SWDC.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$682.8m

Swedencare Valuation

Is SWDC.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SWDC.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SWDC.F ($4.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($15.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SWDC.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SWDC.F?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SWDC.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA16.3x
PEG Ratio1.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SWDC.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SWDC.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.9x
ANIP ANI Pharmaceuticals
50x35.4%US$1.1b
PCRX Pacira BioSciences
10.5x27.2%US$661.0m
ELTP Elite Pharmaceuticals
21.3xn/aUS$415.5m
SIGA SIGA Technologies
5.9xn/aUS$495.3m
SWDC.F Swedencare
90.6x56.1%US$6.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SWDC.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (90.6x) compared to the peer average (21.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SWDC.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Pharmaceuticals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SWDC.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (90.6x) compared to the US Pharmaceuticals industry average (19.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SWDC.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SWDC.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio90.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SWDC.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SWDC.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$4.25
US$5.82
+37.0%
1.6%US$5.91US$5.73n/a2
Sep ’25n/a
US$5.82
0%
1.6%US$5.91US$5.73n/a2
Aug ’25n/a
US$5.82
0%
1.6%US$5.91US$5.73n/a2
Jul ’25n/a
US$6.13
0%
4.5%US$6.40US$5.85n/a2
Jun ’25n/a
US$6.13
0%
4.5%US$6.40US$5.85n/a2
May ’25US$5.11
US$6.13
+19.9%
4.5%US$6.40US$5.85n/a2
Apr ’25US$6.05
US$6.52
+7.8%
5.9%US$6.90US$6.13n/a2
Mar ’25n/a
US$6.52
0%
5.9%US$6.90US$6.13n/a2
Feb ’25n/a
US$5.80
0%
7.6%US$6.24US$5.36n/a2
Jan ’25n/a
US$4.48
0%
10.0%US$4.92US$4.03n/a2
Dec ’24n/a
US$4.48
0%
10.0%US$4.92US$4.03n/a2
Nov ’24n/a
US$4.48
0%
10.0%US$4.92US$4.03n/a2
Oct ’24US$3.71
US$4.51
+21.4%
9.1%US$4.92US$4.10n/a2
Sep ’24n/a
US$4.51
0%
9.1%US$4.92US$4.10n/a2
Aug ’24n/a
US$4.22
0%
21.3%US$5.12US$3.32n/a2
Jul ’24n/a
US$4.11
0%
21.3%US$4.99US$3.23n/a2
Jun ’24n/a
US$4.11
0%
21.3%US$4.99US$3.23n/a2
May ’24US$2.60
US$4.09
+57.5%
31.0%US$5.36US$2.83US$5.112
Apr ’24n/a
US$4.48
0%
26.3%US$5.66US$3.30US$6.052
Mar ’24US$2.76
US$4.52
+63.9%
27.0%US$5.74US$3.30n/a2
Feb ’24US$3.19
US$5.23
+64.0%
37.0%US$7.17US$3.30n/a2
Jan ’24US$2.98
US$5.52
+85.7%
29.3%US$7.14US$3.91n/a2
Dec ’23n/a
US$5.52
0%
29.3%US$7.14US$3.91n/a2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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