Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited

OTCPK:NURP.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.8b

Neuren Pharmaceuticals Valuation

Is NURP.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NURP.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NURP.F ($13.91) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($23.89)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NURP.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NURP.F?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

NURP.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue10.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA12.1x
PEG Ratio20.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NURP.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NURP.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.2x
HRMY Harmony Biosciences Holdings
12.4x28.4%US$1.7b
ANIP ANI Pharmaceuticals
39x31.2%US$1.2b
AMPH Amphastar Pharmaceuticals
13.7x16.8%US$2.1b
COLL Collegium Pharmaceutical
12x15.1%US$1.1b
NURP.F Neuren Pharmaceuticals
16.8x0.8%US$2.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NURP.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.8x) compared to the peer average (19.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NURP.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Pharmaceuticals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NURP.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.8x) compared to the US Pharmaceuticals industry average (17.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NURP.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NURP.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NURP.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NURP.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$13.91
US$17.32
+24.5%
10.1%US$20.54US$15.11n/a6
May ’25US$12.51
US$17.38
+38.9%
9.7%US$20.15US$14.82n/a5
Apr ’25US$13.45
US$17.38
+29.2%
9.7%US$20.15US$14.82n/a5
Mar ’25US$12.00
US$17.38
+44.8%
9.7%US$20.15US$14.82n/a5
Feb ’25US$15.56
US$17.85
+14.7%
5.2%US$18.79US$16.32n/a4
Jan ’25US$16.98
US$17.87
+5.3%
4.5%US$18.41US$16.50n/a4
Dec ’24US$9.97
US$13.12
+31.6%
9.3%US$14.84US$11.40n/a4
Nov ’24US$6.69
US$12.18
+82.1%
9.5%US$14.14US$11.14n/a4
Oct ’24US$7.36
US$10.79
+46.6%
31.4%US$14.39US$4.35n/a5
Sep ’24US$7.96
US$10.79
+35.6%
31.4%US$14.39US$4.35n/a5
Aug ’24US$9.57
US$11.02
+15.2%
31.7%US$15.23US$4.58n/a5
Jul ’24US$8.00
US$9.33
+16.6%
31.2%US$12.22US$4.49n/a5
Jun ’24US$8.85
US$9.33
+5.4%
31.5%US$12.26US$4.50n/a5
May ’24US$9.43
US$8.97
-4.8%
31.4%US$12.29US$4.51US$12.515
Apr ’24US$9.12
US$8.97
-1.6%
31.4%US$12.29US$4.51US$13.455
Mar ’24US$4.82
US$5.54
+14.9%
7.2%US$5.85US$4.98US$12.003
Feb ’24US$5.49
US$5.64
+2.8%
6.1%US$6.04US$5.20US$15.563
Jan ’24US$5.45
US$5.09
-6.5%
9.7%US$5.59US$4.42US$16.983
Dec ’23US$5.50
US$5.09
-7.3%
9.7%US$5.59US$4.42US$9.973
Nov ’23US$4.80
US$5.09
+6.1%
9.7%US$5.59US$4.42US$6.693
Oct ’23US$4.28
US$4.96
+15.9%
14.2%US$5.79US$4.01US$7.364
Sep ’23US$4.12
US$4.79
+16.2%
11.0%US$5.60US$4.12US$7.964
Aug ’23n/a
US$4.65
0%
15.6%US$5.69US$3.79US$9.574
Jul ’23US$2.60
US$4.26
+63.7%
19.1%US$5.61US$3.53US$8.004
Jun ’23US$2.67
US$4.59
+71.9%
22.7%US$5.63US$3.55US$8.852
May ’23n/a
US$4.59
0%
19.7%US$5.50US$3.69US$9.432

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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