Stock Analysis

Is AbbVie’s (ABBV) Expanding Late-Stage Pipeline in Dermatology and Oncology Shifting Its Investment Outlook?

  • In August 2025, AbbVie announced positive topline results from pivotal Phase 3 studies of upadacitinib (RINVOQ®) in severe alopecia areata and provided encouraging clinical updates in multiple oncology programs, signaling advances across dermatology and cancer therapeutics.
  • These clinical milestones emphasize AbbVie's ability to advance multiple late-stage assets simultaneously, highlighting ongoing pipeline productivity outside its established immunology portfolio.
  • We'll explore how AbbVie's expanding late-stage clinical successes in dermatology and oncology affect its long-term investment outlook.

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AbbVie Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in AbbVie, you need to believe that the company’s innovation engine, especially its ability to advance new immunology and oncology therapies, will offset future revenue declines as flagship products face competitive pressure. The latest positive Phase 3 results with upadacitinib for severe alopecia areata support AbbVie’s pipeline productivity, but do not materially alter the short-term catalyst: ensuring continued sales momentum in Skyrizi and Rinvoq as Humira faces loss of exclusivity remains the central focus. The principal risk continues to be intensifying biosimilar and pricing competition.

Among recent news, AbbVie’s $195 million investment to expand API manufacturing stands out as the most relevant. This initiative aims to support both the scale-up of late-stage pipeline candidates such as upadacitinib and improve reliability of supply, which is critical in contributing to AbbVie’s near-term growth catalysts amid heightened pressure on core franchises.

By contrast, investors should also be aware of the risks associated with AbbVie’s high reliance on a concentrated set of products, particularly if...

Read the full narrative on AbbVie (it's free!)

AbbVie's narrative projects $72.9 billion revenue and $20.0 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 7.7% yearly revenue growth and a $16.3 billion increase in earnings from $3.7 billion today.

Uncover how AbbVie's forecasts yield a $215.70 fair value, a 3% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

ABBV Community Fair Values as at Aug 2025
ABBV Community Fair Values as at Aug 2025

Eight members of the Simply Wall St Community estimate AbbVie's fair value to range from US$187.76 to US$447.79 per share. With exclusivity risks for major immunology drugs persisting, your view on these estimates could shape how you approach AbbVie’s future performance.

Explore 8 other fair value estimates on AbbVie - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

Build Your Own AbbVie Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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