Stock Analysis

Zymeworks (NASDAQ:ZYME) Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans

NasdaqGS:ZYME
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Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

So should Zymeworks (NASDAQ:ZYME) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

Check out our latest analysis for Zymeworks

How Long Is Zymeworks' Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. When Zymeworks last reported its March 2024 balance sheet in May 2024, it had zero debt and cash worth US$345m. Importantly, its cash burn was US$77m over the trailing twelve months. Therefore, from March 2024 it had 4.5 years of cash runway. There's no doubt that this is a reassuringly long runway. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

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NasdaqGS:ZYME Debt to Equity History June 12th 2024

Is Zymeworks' Revenue Growing?

We're hesitant to extrapolate on the recent trend to assess its cash burn, because Zymeworks actually had positive free cash flow last year, so operating revenue growth is probably our best bet to measure, right now. The bad news for shareholders is that operating revenue actually plummeted 89% in the last year, which is a real concern in our view. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

How Hard Would It Be For Zymeworks To Raise More Cash For Growth?

Given its problematic fall in revenue, Zymeworks shareholders should consider how the company could fund its growth, if it turns out it needs more cash. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Since it has a market capitalisation of US$639m, Zymeworks' US$77m in cash burn equates to about 12% of its market value. Given that situation, it's fair to say the company wouldn't have much trouble raising more cash for growth, but shareholders would be somewhat diluted.

So, Should We Worry About Zymeworks' Cash Burn?

Even though its falling revenue makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Zymeworks' cash runway was relatively promising. Based on the factors mentioned in this article, we think its cash burn situation warrants some attention from shareholders, but we don't think they should be worried. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 3 warning signs for Zymeworks (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.

Of course Zymeworks may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.