Stock Analysis

Zevra Therapeutics (ZVRA): Assessing Valuation After CFO Succession News Spurs Fresh Investor Interest

Interest in Zevra Therapeutics (ZVRA) spiked after the company announced that its Chief Financial Officer, R. LaDuane Clifton, will step down at the end of 2025. Clifton’s leadership helped shape Zevra’s growth into commercial operations.

See our latest analysis for Zevra Therapeutics.

After a strong multi-year run, Zevra Therapeutics has faced recent volatility, with a 1-year total shareholder return down 8.9% and momentum fading since news of the CFO’s planned departure. Over three years, however, patient investors have still seen an impressive total return of 85%. This highlights the company’s longer-term growth potential despite short-term leadership uncertainty.

If leadership shakeups have you wondering what else is out there, now is a perfect time to broaden your investing outlook and discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership

Given Zevra’s recent pullback and a notable gap between its current price and analyst targets, the big question is whether investors are overlooking long-term growth or if the stock’s prospects are already fully priced in.

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Most Popular Narrative: 62.7% Undervalued

Zevra Therapeutics closed at $8.65, and the most followed narrative suggests a fair value close to triple that figure. With such a sharp gap, investors are paying close attention to the growth story behind these numbers.

Zevra is well positioned to benefit from the increasing global prevalence and diagnosis of rare and neurodegenerative diseases, which is expanding Zevra's addressable market for its rare disease therapies like MIPLYFFA and pipeline assets. This should support future revenue growth. The launch strategy for MIPLYFFA is gaining traction, as evidenced by rapid U.S. patient uptake (over one third of the diagnosed population after only two quarters), high retention rates, and expansion into new patient segments. These factors indicate the potential for continued sequential revenue increases and greater earnings visibility as market penetration grows.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to uncover the math powering this bold valuation? The secret lies in extraordinary revenue and margin growth assumptions that underpin future earnings. Find out what projections steer analysts to such a bullish target. There is a twist to the profit forecast most will not expect.

Result: Fair Value of $23.22 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent low adoption of OLPRUVA and Zevra’s reliance on a single ultra-orphan asset could present challenges to these optimistic growth assumptions.

Find out about the key risks to this Zevra Therapeutics narrative.

Build Your Own Zevra Therapeutics Narrative

If you have a different view or want to dive deeper into the numbers yourself, you can easily craft your own research narrative in just a few minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Zevra Therapeutics research is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Zevra Therapeutics might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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About NasdaqGS:ZVRA

Zevra Therapeutics

A commercial-stage company, focuses on addressing unmet needs for the treatment of rare diseases in the United States.

Very undervalued with exceptional growth potential.

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