Xenon Pharmaceuticals Inc.

NasdaqGM:XENE Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.0b

Xenon Pharmaceuticals Valuation

Is XENE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of XENE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: XENE ($39.34) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($36.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: XENE is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for XENE?

Key metric: As XENE is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for XENE. This is calculated by dividing XENE's market cap by their current book value.
What is XENE's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio3.7x
BookUS$797.81m
Market CapUS$2.96b

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does XENE's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for XENE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.3x
KROS Keros Therapeutics
4.1x-5.0%US$2.2b
SRRK Scholar Rock Holding
32.9x48.8%US$2.6b
SYRE Spyre Therapeutics
8.2x-9.9%US$1.4b
SNDX Syndax Pharmaceuticals
3.7x25.7%US$1.3b
XENE Xenon Pharmaceuticals
3.8x12.7%US$3.0b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: XENE is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (3.8x) compared to the peer average (12.3x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does XENE's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?

62 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GRAL GRAIL
0.2x35.7%US$496.96m
AMRN Amarin
0.4x-7.7%US$201.84m
IMAB I-Mab
0.4x1.8%US$77.61m
MGX Metagenomi
0.2x-22.6%US$63.25m
XENE 3.7xIndustry Avg. 1.8xNo. of Companies81PB01.63.24.86.48+
62 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: XENE is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (3.8x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (1.8x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is XENE's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

XENE PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio3.7x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate XENE's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst XENE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$39.34
US$57.18
+45.4%
9.2%US$65.00US$46.00n/a16
Nov ’25US$41.69
US$57.27
+37.4%
8.9%US$65.00US$49.00n/a15
Oct ’25US$40.38
US$57.79
+43.1%
8.5%US$65.00US$49.00n/a14
Sep ’25US$40.34
US$58.15
+44.2%
8.4%US$65.00US$49.00n/a13
Aug ’25US$43.73
US$58.79
+34.4%
7.9%US$65.00US$50.00n/a14
Jul ’25US$37.69
US$58.79
+56.0%
7.9%US$65.00US$50.00n/a14
Jun ’25US$38.07
US$58.63
+54.0%
7.7%US$65.00US$50.00n/a15
May ’25US$42.49
US$57.44
+35.2%
9.3%US$65.00US$45.00n/a17
Apr ’25US$42.14
US$57.44
+36.3%
9.3%US$65.00US$45.00n/a17
Mar ’25US$46.84
US$57.38
+22.5%
9.3%US$65.00US$45.00n/a17
Feb ’25US$46.43
US$54.41
+17.2%
11.3%US$63.00US$45.00n/a16
Jan ’25US$46.06
US$53.63
+16.4%
11.2%US$63.00US$45.00n/a15
Dec ’24US$36.80
US$51.96
+41.2%
9.2%US$60.00US$45.00n/a14
Nov ’24US$31.22
US$51.86
+66.1%
8.3%US$60.00US$46.00US$41.6914
Oct ’24US$34.16
US$52.27
+53.0%
8.5%US$60.00US$46.00US$40.3815
Sep ’24US$39.73
US$52.27
+31.6%
8.5%US$60.00US$46.00US$40.3415
Aug ’24US$37.38
US$52.20
+39.6%
8.1%US$60.00US$46.00US$43.7315
Jul ’24US$38.50
US$52.20
+35.6%
8.1%US$60.00US$46.00US$37.6915
Jun ’24US$38.65
US$52.20
+35.1%
8.1%US$60.00US$46.00US$38.0715
May ’24US$39.98
US$51.33
+28.4%
9.7%US$60.00US$44.00US$42.4915
Apr ’24US$35.79
US$50.60
+41.4%
9.2%US$60.00US$44.00US$42.1415
Mar ’24US$40.35
US$50.40
+24.9%
9.1%US$60.00US$44.00US$46.8415
Feb ’24US$39.18
US$50.40
+28.6%
9.1%US$60.00US$44.00US$46.4315
Jan ’24US$39.43
US$50.13
+27.1%
9.0%US$60.00US$44.00US$46.0615
Dec ’23US$36.93
US$49.43
+33.8%
7.7%US$60.00US$44.00US$36.8014
Nov ’23US$37.12
US$50.31
+35.5%
7.9%US$60.00US$43.00US$31.2213

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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