Vigil Neuroscience, Inc.

NasdaqGS:VIGL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$89.8m

Vigil Neuroscience Valuation

Is VIGL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VIGL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate VIGL's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate VIGL's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VIGL?

Key metric: As VIGL is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for VIGL. This is calculated by dividing VIGL's market cap by their current book value.
What is VIGL's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio1.1x
BookUS$88.55m
Market CapUS$89.83m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does VIGL's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for VIGL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.5x
PLX Protalix BioTherapeutics
3.8x118.3%US$123.7m
CDTX Cidara Therapeutics
1.9x2.5%US$214.3m
IFRX InflaRx
2x35.3%US$129.5m
DBTX Decibel Therapeutics
2.3xn/aUS$124.3m
VIGL Vigil Neuroscience
1.1x15.9%US$89.8m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: VIGL is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.1x) compared to the peer average (2.6x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does VIGL's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?

59 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GRAL GRAIL
0.2x35.7%US$588.69m
AMRN Amarin
0.4x-7.7%US$205.50m
IMAB I-Mab
0.4x1.8%US$77.18m
MGX Metagenomi
0.3x-23.2%US$75.22m
VIGL 1.1xIndustry Avg. 1.9xNo. of Companies73PB01.63.24.86.48+
59 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: VIGL is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.1x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (1.9x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VIGL's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VIGL PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio1.1x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate VIGL's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VIGL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.30
US$15.88
+590.2%
38.2%US$24.00US$4.00n/a8
Nov ’25US$3.87
US$15.88
+310.2%
38.1%US$23.00US$4.00n/a8
Oct ’25US$3.35
US$15.88
+373.9%
38.1%US$23.00US$4.00n/a8
Sep ’25US$3.48
US$15.88
+356.2%
38.1%US$23.00US$4.00n/a8
Aug ’25US$4.01
US$16.00
+299.0%
37.9%US$23.00US$4.00n/a8
Jul ’25US$4.37
US$16.88
+286.2%
39.2%US$24.00US$4.00n/a8
Jun ’25US$3.18
US$16.75
+426.7%
38.9%US$24.00US$4.00n/a8
May ’25US$2.65
US$16.75
+532.1%
38.9%US$24.00US$4.00n/a8
Apr ’25US$3.29
US$16.75
+409.1%
38.9%US$24.00US$4.00n/a8
Mar ’25US$3.39
US$17.13
+405.2%
38.9%US$24.00US$4.00n/a8
Feb ’25US$2.69
US$17.13
+536.6%
38.9%US$24.00US$4.00n/a8
Jan ’25US$3.38
US$18.75
+454.7%
34.9%US$24.00US$4.00n/a8
Dec ’24US$3.20
US$19.88
+521.1%
21.7%US$24.00US$13.00n/a8
Nov ’24US$6.96
US$19.88
+185.6%
21.7%US$24.00US$13.00US$3.878
Oct ’24US$5.39
US$19.43
+260.5%
22.8%US$24.00US$13.00US$3.357
Sep ’24US$6.14
US$19.43
+216.4%
22.8%US$24.00US$13.00US$3.487
Aug ’24US$7.60
US$19.71
+159.4%
20.6%US$24.00US$13.00US$4.017
Jul ’24US$9.40
US$19.71
+109.7%
20.6%US$24.00US$13.00US$4.377
Jun ’24US$10.10
US$19.71
+95.2%
20.6%US$24.00US$13.00US$3.187
May ’24US$8.54
US$19.71
+130.8%
20.6%US$24.00US$13.00US$2.657
Apr ’24US$9.79
US$19.71
+101.4%
20.6%US$24.00US$13.00US$3.297
Mar ’24US$11.87
US$20.33
+71.3%
20.6%US$24.00US$12.00US$3.396
Feb ’24US$10.65
US$20.33
+90.9%
20.6%US$24.00US$12.00US$2.696
Jan ’24US$12.50
US$20.33
+62.7%
20.6%US$24.00US$12.00US$3.386
Dec ’23US$12.25
US$20.33
+66.0%
20.6%US$24.00US$12.00US$3.206
Nov ’23US$15.12
US$20.00
+32.3%
22.2%US$24.00US$11.00US$6.966

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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