Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping Universe Pharmaceuticals INC's (NASDAQ:UPC) Muted Revenues Despite A 54% Share Price Rise

NasdaqCM:UPC
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Universe Pharmaceuticals INC (NASDAQ:UPC) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 54% after a shaky period beforehand. But the last month did very little to improve the 85% share price decline over the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Universe Pharmaceuticals may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 3.1x and even P/S higher than 21x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Universe Pharmaceuticals

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:UPC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

How Universe Pharmaceuticals Has Been Performing

For example, consider that Universe Pharmaceuticals' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Universe Pharmaceuticals will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Universe Pharmaceuticals' to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 28%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 9.3% in total. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 28% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Universe Pharmaceuticals' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

What Does Universe Pharmaceuticals' P/S Mean For Investors?

Universe Pharmaceuticals' recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Universe Pharmaceuticals confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Universe Pharmaceuticals has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.