Upstream Bio Valuation

Is UPB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UPB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate UPB's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate UPB's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UPB?

Key metric: As UPB barely has revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for UPB. This is calculated by dividing UPB's market cap by their current book value.
What is UPB's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio-6.3x
Book-US$160.31m
Market CapUS$1.00b

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does UPB's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for UPB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.6x
VIR Vir Biotechnology
0.8x1.0%US$1.0b
LENZ LENZ Therapeutics
4.6x41.0%US$986.7m
ZYME Zymeworks
2.7x6.7%US$978.1m
BCAX Bicara Therapeutics
2.2x-30.6%US$993.1m
UPB Upstream Bio
n/a-20.5%US$1.0b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: UPB has negative equity and a Price-To-Book Ratio (-6.3x) compared to the peer average (2.6x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does UPB's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?

59 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GRAL GRAIL
0.2x35.7%US$594.06m
AMRN Amarin
0.4x-7.7%US$217.60m
IMAB I-Mab
0.4x1.8%US$76.61m
MGX Metagenomi
0.3x-23.2%US$75.22m
UPB is unprofitableIndustry Avg. 1.9xNo. of Companies78PB01.63.24.86.48+
59 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: UPB has negative equity and a Price-To-Book Ratio (-6.3x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (1.9x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UPB's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UPB PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio-6.3x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate UPB's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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