Upstream Bio, Inc.

NasdaqGS:UPB Stock Report

Market Cap: US$408.7m

Upstream Bio Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 0/6

Upstream Bio's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -54.8%, while the Biotechs industry saw earnings growing at 36.2% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 44.7% per year.

Key information

-54.83%

Earnings growth rate

48.26%

EPS growth rate

Biotechs Industry Growth17.04%
Revenue growth rate44.69%
Return on equity-51.57%
Net Margin-4,718.96%
Last Earnings Update31 Mar 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Analysis Article Jun 03

Will Upstream Bio (NASDAQ:UPB) Spend Its Cash Wisely?

There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, biotech and mining...
Seeking Alpha May 29

Upstream Bio: The Reset Is The Opportunity, Initiating At Buy

Summary I am initiating a Buy rating on Verekitug, the lead asset of Upstream Bio, a small-cap biotech trading at an enterprise value under $200M. Verekitug's quarterly dosing and differentiated TSLPR mechanism offer competitive efficacy in severe asthma and CRSwNP, with strong phase 2 data supporting further development. UPB's key catalysts include FDA interactions, phase 3 trial initiations in 2027, and a COPD phase 2 readout, all of which could drive significant re-rating. Risks include asset concentration, financing needs beyond 2027, and intense competition from established biologics, but current valuation appears disconnected from conservative peak-sales scenarios. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Jul 27

Upstream Bio (NASDAQ:UPB) Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans

We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although Amazon.com made...
Seeking Alpha Apr 17

Upstream Bio: Verekitug, A Longer-Acting Dupixent? - Key Data Is Imminent

Summary Upstream Bio's IPO raised ~$293m, focusing on developing verekitug, a unique TSLP receptor antagonist for severe respiratory disorders, now in Phase 2 trials. The company has a strong cash position of $471m, despite a net loss of $63m in 2024, providing a long funding runway. Verekitug's less frequent dosing and good safety profile offer potential advantages, but its success hinges on upcoming Phase 2 data readouts. Given the competitive market and high failure rates in clinical studies, investors should be aware that Upstream must be considered a higher risk investment. Nevertheless, I'm "sticking my neck out" and suggesting the stock merits a "Buy" recommendation, ahead of Chronic rhinosinusitis data due before the end of this year. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Apr 12

We Think Upstream Bio (NASDAQ:UPB) Can Afford To Drive Business Growth

We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although Amazon.com made...
Seeking Alpha Dec 16

Upstream Bio: Treating Respiratory Disorders With TSLP Targeting Differentiation

Summary Upstream Bio, Inc. raised approximately $293 million in an IPO, positioning it to leverage upstream pathway targeting of TSLP for treatment of patients with respiratory disorders using verekitug. Release of results from the phase 2 study, using verekitug for the treatment of patients with Chronic Rhinosinusitis with Nasal Polyps, expected to be released in the 2nd half of 2025. The global Chronic Rhinosinusitis market is expected to reach $3.5 billion by 2027. Other catalysts are phase 2 study data using verekitug for Severe Asthma and initiation of mid-stage study for COPD, expected 2nd half 2026 and 2nd half 2025 respectively. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 07

Upstream Bio: Attractive, But Let's Wait For More Data And Lock-Up Expiry

Summary Upstream Bio's sole drug, verekitug, targets severe asthma, CRSwNP, and COPD, with promising early phase 2 data expected in 2025 and 2026. Verekitug, a TSLP receptor inhibitor, shows higher efficacy in reducing FeNO and eosinophils compared to competitors like Tezepelumab, Dupilumab, and Mepolizumab. With a market cap of $1.18bn and $220.7 million in cash, UPB has a cash runway through 2027, despite high valuation risks. I find UPB attractive but will wait for phase 2 data and the lock-up period to expire before considering an investment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Upstream Bio makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

NasdaqGS:UPB Revenue, expenses and earnings (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Mar 263-15728148
31 Dec 253-14326137
30 Sep 253-13625118
30 Jun 253-11023101
31 Mar 252-902077
31 Dec 242-761763
30 Sep 242-571553
30 Jun 242-471345
31 Mar 242-441237
31 Dec 232-381132
31 Dec 221-24619

Quality Earnings: UPB is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: UPB is currently unprofitable.


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: UPB is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 54.8% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare UPB's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: UPB is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Biotechs industry (54.5%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: UPB has a negative Return on Equity (-51.57%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/05 17:29
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/02 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Upstream Bio, Inc. is covered by 8 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Cory KasimovEvercore ISI
Matthew CaufieldH.C. Wainwright & Co.
Tessa RomeroJ.P. Morgan