Stock Analysis

We Think Twist Bioscience (NASDAQ:TWST) Can Afford To Drive Business Growth

NasdaqGS:TWST
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Twist Bioscience (NASDAQ:TWST) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

View our latest analysis for Twist Bioscience

SWOT Analysis for Twist Bioscience

Strength
  • Currently debt free.
Weakness
  • Expensive based on P/S ratio compared to estimated Fair P/S ratio.
Opportunity
  • Forecast to reduce losses next year.
Threat
  • Has less than 3 years of cash runway based on current free cash flow.
  • Not expected to become profitable over the next 3 years.

When Might Twist Bioscience Run Out Of Money?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. When Twist Bioscience last reported its balance sheet in March 2023, it had zero debt and cash worth US$388m. Importantly, its cash burn was US$212m over the trailing twelve months. So it had a cash runway of approximately 22 months from March 2023. That's not too bad, but it's fair to say the end of the cash runway is in sight, unless cash burn reduces drastically. However, if we extrapolate the company's recent cash burn trend, then it would have a longer cash run way. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:TWST Debt to Equity History July 7th 2023

How Well Is Twist Bioscience Growing?

In the last twelve months, Twist Bioscience kept its cash burn steady. And in that context its operating revenue grew by 40%, which shows at least some progress. Considering the factors above, the company doesn’t fare badly when it comes to assessing how it is changing over time. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

How Hard Would It Be For Twist Bioscience To Raise More Cash For Growth?

While Twist Bioscience seems to be in a fairly good position, it's still worth considering how easily it could raise more cash, even just to fuel faster growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Twist Bioscience has a market capitalisation of US$1.1b and burnt through US$212m last year, which is 19% of the company's market value. Given that situation, it's fair to say the company wouldn't have much trouble raising more cash for growth, but shareholders would be somewhat diluted.

How Risky Is Twist Bioscience's Cash Burn Situation?

On this analysis of Twist Bioscience's cash burn, we think its revenue growth was reassuring, while its increasing cash burn has us a bit worried. Cash burning companies are always on the riskier side of things, but after considering all of the factors discussed in this short piece, we're not too worried about its rate of cash burn. An in-depth examination of risks revealed 1 warning sign for Twist Bioscience that readers should think about before committing capital to this stock.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Twist Bioscience might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.