Stock Analysis

Twist Bioscience (NASDAQ:TWST) Is In A Strong Position To Grow Its Business

NasdaqGS:TWST
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, Twist Bioscience (NASDAQ:TWST) shareholders have done very well over the last year, with the share price soaring by 134%. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

In light of its strong share price run, we think now is a good time to investigate how risky Twist Bioscience's cash burn is. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

Check out our latest analysis for Twist Bioscience

When Might Twist Bioscience Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. When Twist Bioscience last reported its June 2024 balance sheet in August 2024, it had zero debt and cash worth US$289m. In the last year, its cash burn was US$75m. So it had a cash runway of about 3.9 years from June 2024. Notably, however, analysts think that Twist Bioscience will break even (at a free cash flow level) before then. In that case, it may never reach the end of its cash runway. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:TWST Debt to Equity History September 25th 2024

How Well Is Twist Bioscience Growing?

It was fairly positive to see that Twist Bioscience reduced its cash burn by 55% during the last year. And considering that its operating revenue gained 25% during that period, that's great to see. We think it is growing rather well, upon reflection. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

How Hard Would It Be For Twist Bioscience To Raise More Cash For Growth?

While Twist Bioscience seems to be in a decent position, we reckon it is still worth thinking about how easily it could raise more cash, if that proved desirable. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Twist Bioscience's cash burn of US$75m is about 2.8% of its US$2.7b market capitalisation. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.

So, Should We Worry About Twist Bioscience's Cash Burn?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Twist Bioscience's cash burn. In particular, we think its cash runway stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. But it's fair to say that its revenue growth was also very reassuring. One real positive is that analysts are forecasting that the company will reach breakeven. After considering a range of factors in this article, we're pretty relaxed about its cash burn, since the company seems to be in a good position to continue to fund its growth. Readers need to have a sound understanding of business risks before investing in a stock, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Twist Bioscience that potential shareholders should take into account before putting money into a stock.

Of course Twist Bioscience may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Twist Bioscience might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.