Stock Analysis

Why Tempus AI (TEM) Is Up 11.2% After Securing ARPA-H Precision Cancer Therapy Collaboration

  • Tempus AI, Inc. announced it has been selected by the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services' Advanced Research Projects Agency for Health (ARPA-H) to provide AI-enabled diagnostics and contract research services for the ADAPT precision cancer therapy program targeting metastatic lung, breast, and colorectal cancers.
  • The collaboration not only highlights Tempus AI's pivotal role in government-backed precision medicine initiatives but also showcases its multi-omics capabilities and data integration expertise to accelerate the development of personalized cancer therapies.
  • We'll explore how Tempus AI's involvement in ARPA-H's nationwide clinical trial program enhances its credibility and potential within precision oncology.

AI is about to change healthcare. These 32 stocks are working on everything from early diagnostics to drug discovery. The best part - they are all under $10b in market cap - there's still time to get in early.

Tempus AI Investment Narrative Recap

Tempus AI’s role in the ARPA-H ADAPT initiative reinforces the company’s core narrative: that its vast, integrated database and AI-driven insights give it a unique edge in the push toward truly personalized cancer care. While this government-backed contract further highlights Tempus AI’s clinical credibility, the most immediate catalyst remains continued top-line growth and success in large pharma partnerships, whereas the main risk is the persistent pressure on pricing due to intensifying competition; the announcement does not meaningfully shift these dynamics in the short term.

The recently announced partnership with Parse Biosciences stands out as it closely complements Tempus AI’s multi-omics capabilities, which are central to both the ARPA-H collaboration and the company’s ambitions for broader clinical integration. By joining Parse’s Certified Service Provider Program, Tempus further sharpens its strength in large-scale, high-throughput research that could fuel further growth if reimbursement and adoption trends develop favorably.

On the other hand, investors should be mindful of persistent pricing pressures and the risk these pose...

Read the full narrative on Tempus AI (it's free!)

Tempus AI's narrative projects $2.1 billion revenue and $295.0 million earnings by 2028. This requires 29.7% yearly revenue growth and a $494.7 million increase in earnings from -$199.7 million.

Uncover how Tempus AI's forecasts yield a $74.82 fair value, a 25% downside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

TEM Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
TEM Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Community-sourced fair value estimates for Tempus AI span a wide range, from US$16.72 to US$93.38, based on 34 separate viewpoints in the Simply Wall St Community. With such diverse expectations, the ongoing risk from competitive pressure on pricing could be a key driver of future outcomes, making it essential to consider several perspectives before deciding your next step.

Explore 34 other fair value estimates on Tempus AI - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!

Build Your Own Tempus AI Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NasdaqGS:TEM

Tempus AI

Operates as a healthcare technology company.

Fair value with limited growth.

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