Stock Analysis

Tempus AI (TEM): Valuation in Focus After New Lymphoma Partnership and Breakthrough Cancer Research Reveal

Tempus AI (TEM) announced a multi-year partnership with the Institute for Follicular Lymphoma Innovation, expanding its research in precision medicine and biomarker discovery for lymphoma. This collaboration comes shortly after the company showcased key cancer immunotherapy findings at SITC 2025.

See our latest analysis for Tempus AI.

Tempus AI’s quick succession of high-profile collaborations and breakthrough clinical presentations has turned heads, but the real story is in the numbers. Even with a recent 30-day share price decline of 25.5%, momentum over the year remains exceptionally strong, as shown by its nearly doubling share price year-to-date and a one-year total shareholder return of 30.7%. This is evidence that the market is rewarding both the company’s growth story and strategic moves in precision oncology.

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With shares still trading at a notable discount to analyst price targets after a year of rapid growth, investors must decide if Tempus AI is a bargain ripe for the taking or if the market has already factored in its future gains.

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Most Popular Narrative: 21.4% Undervalued

Tempus AI’s most-watched narrative points to a striking valuation gap, with a fair value estimate of $87.17 against a last close of $68.48. The narrative is based on aggressive projected growth and a premium multiple that sets bold expectations for the future.

“Strong growth in testing volumes and biopharma partnerships positions Tempus AI for durable revenue gains, supported by differentiated technology and a growing data advantage. Expanding clinical-genomic offerings and disciplined cost management drive improving profitability, while rising AI adoption and regulatory clarity provide long-term growth opportunities.”

Read the complete narrative.

Want to know what turbocharges this ambitious valuation? The underlying assumptions hinge on explosive sales momentum and margin expansion that outpaces rivals. Curious which high-conviction figures fuel analysts’ confidence and where the narrative expects profits to soar? Dive in to see how future projections shake up the fair price calculation.

Result: Fair Value of $87.17 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, rising competition and regulatory uncertainties could challenge Tempus AI’s ability to sustain projected growth. This could potentially alter the current undervalued narrative.

Find out about the key risks to this Tempus AI narrative.

Another View: A Closer Look at Value Ratios

While Tempus AI’s growth story fuels bullish fair value estimates, its price-to-sales ratio tells a more cautious tale. At 11x, this is more than double the Life Sciences industry average of 3.4x and well above its peers at 5.2x. Even compared to a fair ratio of 9.1x, shares appear expensive, highlighting potential valuation risk if expectations cool. Will optimism persist, or could the market pivot to a more conservative outlook?

See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

NasdaqGS:TEM PS Ratio as at Nov 2025
NasdaqGS:TEM PS Ratio as at Nov 2025

Build Your Own Tempus AI Narrative

If you see these numbers differently or want to chart your own course, you can build a unique Tempus AI narrative in just a few minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Tempus AI research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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