Stock Analysis

Tarsus Pharmaceuticals (TARS): Assessing Valuation After Revenue Growth and Raised Guidance

Tarsus Pharmaceuticals (TARS) released its latest quarterly earnings, revealing a strong jump in both revenue and a reduced net loss compared to last year. The company also raised its revenue outlook for the next quarter, which suggests ongoing growth.

See our latest analysis for Tarsus Pharmaceuticals.

Tarsus Pharmaceuticals has been gathering real momentum lately, with the latest revenue surge and upbeat guidance catching the market’s attention. The share price has climbed 38% over the last 90 days, and long-term shareholders have been handsomely rewarded with a 66% total return over the past year. This underscores renewed optimism for continued growth.

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Still, with shares up more than a third in the past quarter and analyst targets just ahead, investors must ask themselves whether Tarsus is undervalued based on fundamentals or if the market has already priced in future growth.

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Most Popular Narrative: 12% Undervalued

Compared to the recent closing price, the most widely followed narrative sets Tarsus Pharmaceuticals’ fair value about $10 higher per share. This perspective is grounded in robust future margin projections and a rapidly expanding addressable market.

Accelerated patient and physician adoption of XDEMVY, driven by a robust direct-to-consumer campaign and increased unaided awareness, points to ongoing demand expansion among an estimated 25 million potential U.S. patients. This suggests material runway for future top-line revenue growth.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to know why this narrative sees so much upside? The key factors include a future profit mix and revenue assumptions that differ from today's business. See which blockbuster figures analysts are focusing on and discover the collection of game-changing forecasts at the heart of this valuation.

Result: Fair Value of $84.25 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, future gains are not guaranteed. Tarsus relies heavily on XDEMVY’s adoption and currently faces high marketing and operational costs.

Find out about the key risks to this Tarsus Pharmaceuticals narrative.

Build Your Own Tarsus Pharmaceuticals Narrative

If these conclusions do not match your view or you prefer to dig into the details yourself, you can craft your own perspective in under three minutes using our tools. Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Tarsus Pharmaceuticals research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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