Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

NasdaqGS:TARS Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.8b

Tarsus Pharmaceuticals Valuation

Is TARS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TARS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate TARS's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate TARS's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TARS?

Key metric: As TARS is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for TARS. This is calculated by dividing TARS's market cap by their current revenue.
What is TARS's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio13.7x
SalesUS$129.62m
Market CapUS$1.78b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TARS's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TARS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.2x
HRMY Harmony Biosciences Holdings
2.8x18.4%US$1.9b
HROW Harrow
9.2x42.2%US$1.5b
ARVN Arvinas
10.7x24.6%US$1.6b
ANIP ANI Pharmaceuticals
2x9.1%US$1.1b
TARS Tarsus Pharmaceuticals
13.7x38.0%US$1.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TARS is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (13.7x) compared to the peer average (6.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does TARS's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Pharmaceuticals Industry?

70 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
OGN Organon
0.6x-0.06%US$3.79b
PRGO Perrigo
0.8x3.4%US$3.70b
BHC Bausch Health Companies
0.3x1.5%US$3.01b
SNDL SNDL
0.8x7.2%US$520.38m
TARS 13.7xIndustry Avg. 2.5xNo. of Companies70PS03.67.210.814.418+
70 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TARS is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (13.7x) compared to the US Pharmaceuticals industry average (2.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TARS's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TARS PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio13.7x
Fair PS Ratio11.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: TARS is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (13.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TARS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$46.40
US$65.33
+40.8%
18.1%US$84.00US$41.00n/a9
Nov ’25US$47.30
US$59.33
+25.4%
17.8%US$75.00US$36.00n/a9
Oct ’25US$32.29
US$58.75
+81.9%
18.9%US$75.00US$36.00n/a8
Sep ’25US$27.11
US$59.22
+118.5%
17.9%US$75.00US$36.00n/a9
Aug ’25US$23.43
US$56.89
+142.8%
17.8%US$67.00US$34.00n/a9
Jul ’25US$28.24
US$56.89
+101.4%
17.8%US$67.00US$34.00n/a9
Jun ’25US$32.96
US$56.22
+70.6%
19.0%US$67.00US$34.00n/a9
May ’25US$32.49
US$52.44
+61.4%
19.5%US$65.00US$30.00n/a9
Apr ’25US$35.85
US$52.33
+46.0%
19.7%US$65.00US$30.00n/a9
Mar ’25US$36.95
US$50.56
+36.8%
24.6%US$65.00US$30.00n/a9
Feb ’25US$28.92
US$44.67
+54.4%
28.0%US$60.00US$19.00n/a9
Jan ’25US$20.25
US$43.22
+113.4%
27.7%US$60.00US$19.00n/a9
Dec ’24US$15.86
US$43.22
+172.5%
27.7%US$60.00US$19.00n/a9
Nov ’24US$14.51
US$45.63
+214.4%
19.0%US$60.00US$30.00US$47.308
Oct ’24US$17.77
US$46.63
+162.4%
18.8%US$60.00US$30.00US$32.298
Sep ’24US$16.66
US$46.25
+177.6%
18.9%US$60.00US$30.00US$27.118
Aug ’24US$18.27
US$53.63
+193.5%
18.1%US$70.00US$40.00US$23.438
Jul ’24US$18.07
US$48.88
+170.5%
22.3%US$70.00US$40.00US$28.248
Jun ’24US$17.06
US$47.38
+177.7%
21.2%US$65.00US$40.00US$32.968
May ’24US$15.22
US$48.43
+218.2%
21.3%US$65.00US$40.00US$32.497
Apr ’24US$12.57
US$48.43
+285.3%
21.3%US$65.00US$40.00US$35.857
Mar ’24US$15.32
US$48.71
+218.0%
22.0%US$66.00US$40.00US$36.957
Feb ’24US$15.65
US$48.71
+211.3%
22.0%US$66.00US$40.00US$28.927
Jan ’24US$14.66
US$50.38
+243.6%
21.8%US$66.00US$40.00US$20.258
Dec ’23US$16.90
US$50.38
+198.1%
21.8%US$66.00US$40.00US$15.868
Nov ’23US$17.92
US$53.00
+195.8%
22.0%US$66.00US$40.00US$14.518

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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