Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

NasdaqGM:SUPN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.7b

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Valuation

Is SUPN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SUPN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

US$247.52
Fair Value
80.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
5
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: SUPN ($48.35) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($247.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SUPN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SUPN?

Key metric: As SUPN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SUPN. This is calculated by dividing SUPN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SUPN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio42x
EarningsUS$64.50m
Market CapUS$2.69b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SUPN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SUPN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.7x
OGN Organon
4.1x14.52%US$2.8b
PBH Prestige Consumer Healthcare
14.8x3.32%US$3.1b
BHC Bausch Health Companies
25.2x16.69%US$2.4b
INDV Indivior
54.5x47.60%US$2.9b
SUPN Supernus Pharmaceuticals
42xn/aUS$2.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SUPN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42x) compared to the peer average (24.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SUPN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Pharmaceuticals Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NDOI Endo
0.3xn/aUS$1.76b
BTMD biote
3x-36.29%US$137.47m
BSEM BioStem Technologies
3.2xn/aUS$84.68m
KOAN Resonate Blends
2.4xn/aUS$2.63m
SUPN 42.0xIndustry Avg. 20.0xNo. of Companies8PE01632486480+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SUPN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42x) compared to the US Pharmaceuticals industry average (19.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SUPN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SUPN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio42x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SUPN's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SUPN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$48.35
US$49.20
+1.76%
17.36%US$63.00US$40.00n/a5
Sep ’26US$45.12
US$43.80
-2.93%
4.88%US$46.00US$40.00n/a5
Aug ’26US$35.51
US$40.20
+13.22%
7.77%US$45.00US$36.00n/a5
Jul ’26US$31.82
US$39.00
+22.56%
8.58%US$45.00US$36.00n/a5
Jun ’26US$31.70
US$38.80
+22.40%
7.71%US$44.00US$36.00n/a5
May ’26US$32.45
US$38.80
+19.57%
7.71%US$44.00US$36.00n/a5
Apr ’26US$31.68
US$38.80
+22.47%
7.71%US$44.00US$36.00n/a5
Mar ’26US$32.06
US$38.80
+21.02%
7.71%US$44.00US$36.00n/a5
Feb ’26US$38.37
US$42.80
+11.55%
17.45%US$57.00US$36.00n/a5
Jan ’26US$36.16
US$39.25
+8.55%
6.59%US$43.00US$36.00n/a4
Dec ’25US$36.57
US$39.25
+7.33%
6.59%US$43.00US$36.00n/a4
Nov ’25US$33.97
US$39.25
+15.54%
6.59%US$43.00US$36.00n/a4
Oct ’25US$32.00
US$39.25
+22.66%
6.59%US$43.00US$36.00US$48.044
Sep ’25US$35.16
US$40.50
+15.19%
4.45%US$43.00US$38.00US$45.124
Aug ’25US$29.57
US$40.50
+36.96%
4.45%US$43.00US$38.00US$35.514
Jul ’25US$26.55
US$40.50
+52.54%
4.45%US$43.00US$38.00US$31.824
Jun ’25US$27.12
US$40.50
+49.34%
4.45%US$43.00US$38.00US$31.704
May ’25US$30.08
US$40.50
+34.64%
4.45%US$43.00US$38.00US$32.454
Apr ’25US$33.52
US$40.50
+20.82%
4.45%US$43.00US$38.00US$31.684
Mar ’25US$31.01
US$40.50
+30.60%
4.45%US$43.00US$38.00US$32.064
Feb ’25US$27.86
US$41.00
+47.16%
5.17%US$43.00US$38.00US$38.374
Jan ’25US$28.94
US$41.00
+41.67%
5.17%US$43.00US$38.00US$36.164
Dec ’24US$27.58
US$41.00
+48.66%
5.17%US$43.00US$38.00US$36.574
Nov ’24US$23.91
US$40.75
+70.43%
4.71%US$43.00US$38.00US$33.974
Oct ’24US$27.57
US$42.25
+53.25%
6.12%US$45.00US$38.00US$32.004
US$49.2
Fair Value
1.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
5
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/10/03 13:00
End of Day Share Price 2025/10/03 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is covered by 18 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Emily BodnarBerenberg
David BuckB. Riley Securities, Inc.
John TannerCantor Fitzgerald & Co.